Energy Department News

10 months ago

Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?

Mar 4, 3:00 AMJan 1, 3:50 AM

19.4%chance

155197178

OptionVotes

YES

203851

49055

Will the US obtain the Iranian uranium?

Apr 1, 9:15 PMDec 31, 10:14 PM

14.51%chance

547015

OptionVotes

YES

3402

401

Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?

Dec 29, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.31%chance

214959

OptionVotes

YES

4224

237

Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026?

Apr 1, 7:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.76%chance

273028

OptionVotes

YES

1716

730

U.S. tests/uses nuclear weapon during Trump's presidency?

Nov 3, 11:51 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

11.12%chance

241074

OptionVotes

YES

283

Will the DOE Hydrogen Shot Succeed in Reducing the Price of Renewable Hydrogen to $1/kg by 2030?

May 22, 1:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.58%chance

13469

OptionVotes

YES

1225

879

Which prongs of the "3-3-3" economic plan will the Trump administration achieve by the end of Q1, 2028?

Dec 16, 7:20 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

18409

OptionProbability

Increase domestic energy production by 3 million barrel of oil equivalents per day

Real GDP growth of 3% per annum

Reduce budget deficit to 3% of GDP

☀️ 🏭 When will the US meet the goal of 2¢/kWh for utility-scale photovoltaics?

Dec 7, 3:52 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

10221

OptionProbability

2028-2030

2025-2027

Beyond 2030 (or never)

Before the end of 2024

Will the US enact export controls on energy products in 2026?

Mar 13, 1:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.9%chance

8192

OptionVotes

YES

142

Will data centers consume more than 10% of US electricity usage by EOY 2028?

May 28, 4:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65%chance

10156

OptionVotes

YES

136

Second Trump administration holds at least one oil/gas sale for drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge?

Jan 20, 8:15 AMJan 22, 7:59 AM

74.21%chance

580

OptionVotes

YES

170

Will the UK reach hydrogen-generated energy targets and related goals?

Jul 31, 5:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

At least 1GW production capacity by 2025

At least 5GW production capacity by 2030

At least 10GW production capacity by 2035

Between 250-460TWh of hydrogen production by 2050

Less than 250TWh of hydrogen production by 2050

More than 460TWh of hydrogen production by 2050

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Prediction markets for Energy Department

Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?

Will the US obtain the Iranian uranium?

Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?

Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026?

U.S. tests/uses nuclear weapon during Trump's presidency?

Will the DOE Hydrogen Shot Succeed in Reducing the Price of Renewable Hydrogen to $1/kg by 2030?

Which prongs of the "3-3-3" economic plan will the Trump administration achieve by the end of Q1, 2028?

☀️ 🏭 When will the US meet the goal of 2¢/kWh for utility-scale photovoltaics?

Will the US enact export controls on energy products in 2026?

Will data centers consume more than 10% of US electricity usage by EOY 2028?

Second Trump administration holds at least one oil/gas sale for drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge?

Will the UK reach hydrogen-generated energy targets and related goals?

Latest stories

Join our channels

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