Energy Innovation News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Energy Innovation
8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job loss [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
62.52%chance
3826421
OptionVotes
1294
776
Will there be a major paradigm shift in physics, like Newtonian to Modern Physics, by the end of 2040?
Jan 14, 12:56 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
60.22%chance
8020308
OptionVotes
1441
335
6. Many more AI companies will begin building custom chips.
Dec 28, 11:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
90.5%chance
246554
OptionVotes
3092
324
Will humanity establish the foundations for a Type 1 civilization by the end of the 21st century?
Dec 31, 8:58 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
55.74%chance
291727
OptionVotes
1057
918
OptionProbability
97
85
75
69
66
64
64
61
61
61
50
50
43
41
19
Will the levelized cost of electricity from advanced nuclear be less than $60/MWh by 2030 (in the US)?
Dec 18, 3:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
50%chance
8134
OptionVotes
195
178
Will the US launch a Manhattan Project / Apollo Program for AI safety by EOY 2030?
Jun 21, 10:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
40.34%chance
635
OptionVotes
122
82
OptionProbability
50
50
41
34
24
Will there be a new TRIUMPH OF THE WILL -like film centered on MAGA/Trump by EOY2028?
Jan 20, 9:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
42.87%chance
332
OptionVotes
115
87
OptionProbability
17
17
17
17
17
17
Latest stories
Latest stories