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Prediction markets for Energy Ministry
What will be the dominant unit of economic power used by humans in 2040?
Nov 4, 4:21 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
7745090
OptionProbability
63
31
24
20
9
9
8
8
8
7
6
5
5
4
3
2
Will Global nickel ore production (15-month trailing) exceed 230 million tonnes on May 31, 2026?
Mar 4, 12:04 AMMay 31, 12:04 AM
62.55%chance
71523
OptionVotes
129
77
Will Global nickel ore production (15-month trailing) exceed 250 million tonnes on May 31, 2026?
Mar 4, 12:04 AMMay 31, 12:04 AM
61.7%chance
6696
OptionVotes
127
79
Will Global nickel ore production (15-month trailing) exceed 270 million tonnes on May 31, 2026?
Mar 4, 12:04 AMMay 31, 12:04 AM
18.24%chance
3571
OptionVotes
212
47
Will the Coalition next split before the next election?
Feb 8, 4:59 AMDec 30, 10:59 PM
43.52%chance
6225
OptionVotes
136
56
China's primary aluminium capacity exceeds 30% benchmark energy efficiency by 2027?
Nov 26, 3:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
76.24%chance
4101
OptionVotes
179
56
Will 2026 nickel production from PT Weda Bay Nickel exceed 12 million wet metric tonnes on December 31, 2027?
Mar 4, 3:04 PMDec 31, 3:04 PM
80%chance
1100
OptionVotes
200
50
Will the feed-in tariff (Einspeisevergütung) of small of small photovoltaics be repealed in Germany in 2026?
Apr 12, 10:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
50.23%chance
792
OptionVotes
100
100
Will Indonesia's commissioned alumina refinery capacity exceed 15 Mt/yr on December 31, 2027?
May 4, 5:15 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
27.89%chance
251
OptionVotes
149
73
Will 2026 nickel production from PT Weda Bay Nickel exceed 42 million wet metric tonnes on December 31, 2027?
Mar 4, 3:05 PMDec 31, 3:04 PM
30.77%chance
150
OptionVotes
150
67
Will Indonesia's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 1.5 million tonnes?
May 4, 5:16 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM
68.86%chance
215
OptionVotes
115
92
will India reduce its dependency on crude oil imports to below 50% of its total crude oil requirements within 10 years?
Apr 4, 11:45 AMApr 4, 11:40 AM
17.69%chance
23
OptionVotes
103
85
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