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Top stories

UK Police Seek to Charge 60 Supporters of Banned Palestine Action

UK Police Seek to Charge 60 Supporters of Banned Palestine Action

Authors

10

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Equality

Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026?

Sep 21, 6:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3719211

OptionProbability

S&P500 ≥ 6000

S&P500 ≥ 6500

S&P500 ≥ 7000

S&P500 ≥ 7500

S&P500 ≥ 8000

S&P500 ≥ 8500

S&P500 ≥ 9000

97

96

91

77

39

13

2

Will we find something showing equal or greater architectural advancement to Gobekli Tepe, from before 11,000 BC?

Mar 4, 6:42 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

33.07%chance

5810769

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11052

10904

Will a gay couple give birth to an equally-genetically-related child before 2035?

Oct 23, 10:05 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

71.31%chance

414089

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1596

612

Will the Supreme Court decide the status of the Equal Rights Amendment by the end of 2028?

Jan 17, 7:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

14.49%chance

153608

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2429

412

Will 1+1 still be equal to 2 on Dec. 31, 9999?

Jun 20, 4:27 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

97.72%chance

162900

OptionVotes

NO

YES

898

236

In twenty years, will the best evidence show very substantial (>one quarter) declines in fertility rate (relative to couples trying equally hard to conceive in the past) due to decreasing sperm count, in at least one country?

Feb 17, 4:38 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15%chance

421303

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1266

930

Does a civilization with Kardashev rating equal or greater than 1 exist in the Milky Way?

Aug 10, 1:30 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

25.09%chance

391118

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1248

887

Will 10 million Americans be on semaglutide (or yet-to-be-approved equally good or superior alternatives) by the end of 2030?

Nov 24, 12:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.22%chance

27922

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1346

871

Will Polish parliament equalize the retirement age for men and women before 2030?

Jan 27, 12:27 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

34.01%chance

17902

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1435

666

Will we find something showing equal or greater architectural advancement to the Great Pyramid, from before 11,000 BC?

Mar 4, 6:43 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

4.82%chance

14495

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1296

951

Will Jose Luis Ricon's lifetime K/D ratio be equal to or greater than 1?

Mar 15, 10:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.86%chance

365

OptionVotes

YES

NO

165

61

Will US median household income equal at least half of average home values by 2035?

Nov 18, 1:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

59.2%chance

244

OptionVotes

NO

YES

128

96

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Britain
Crime
Politics
UK Police Seek to Charge 60 Supporters of Banned Palestine Action
Authors
10
1 year ago

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