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UK Police Seek to Charge 60 Supporters of Banned Palestine Action
Authors
10
10 months ago
Prediction markets for Equality
Will we find something showing equal or greater architectural advancement to Gobekli Tepe, from before 11,000 BC?
Mar 4, 6:42 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM
33.07%chance
5810769
OptionVotes
11052
10904
Will a gay couple give birth to an equally-genetically-related child before 2035?
Oct 23, 10:05 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
72.02%chance
414070
OptionVotes
1589
631
OptionVotes
898
236
Will the Supreme Court decide the status of the Equal Rights Amendment by the end of 2028?
Jan 17, 7:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
33.45%chance
132531
OptionVotes
1411
709
In twenty years, will the best evidence show very substantial (>one quarter) declines in fertility rate (relative to couples trying equally hard to conceive in the past) due to decreasing sperm count, in at least one country?
Feb 17, 4:38 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
15%chance
421203
OptionVotes
1266
930
Does a civilization with Kardashev rating equal or greater than 1 exist in the Milky Way?
Aug 10, 1:30 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM
24.9%chance
381115
OptionVotes
1257
884
Will 10 million Americans be on semaglutide (or yet-to-be-approved equally good or superior alternatives) by the end of 2030?
Nov 24, 12:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
78.22%chance
27922
OptionVotes
1346
871
Will Polish parliament equalize the retirement age for men and women before 2030?
Jan 27, 12:27 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
34.01%chance
17902
OptionVotes
1435
666
Will Poland equalize retirement age for men and women by 2050?
May 9, 9:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
57.18%chance
7426
OptionVotes
116
87
Will Messi have more than or equal to G/A than Ronaldo in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Jun 4, 4:47 PMJul 19, 11:59 PM
91.64%chance
8268
OptionVotes
331
30
This market resolves to PROB equals 10x the percentage of the US human population that declare being romantic involved with some AI in 2050.
Jan 25, 6:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
61.49%chance
9265
OptionVotes
216
100
Will there be male birth control equal or better than the IUD by end of 2028?
Oct 28, 6:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
21.97%chance
3100
OptionVotes
148
61