European Parliament News

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize?

Jan 29, 6:49 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

3.46%chance

3812665

OptionVotes

YES

5283

189

Will the EU impose punitive tariffs on Chinese electric cars before 2030?

Sep 13, 9:37 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

92.84%chance

322779

OptionVotes

YES

2894

680

Will transnational lists be implemented for the European Parliament elections in 2029?

May 18, 3:50 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

30.67%chance

122156

OptionVotes

YES

1504

665

Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

May 19, 3:12 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

10.19%chance

52021

OptionVotes

YES

2969

337

Will Marine Le Pen be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election?

May 20, 8:13 AMMar 19, 11:59 PM

11.06%chance

10613

OptionVotes

YES

284

Next Danish Election: Which pairs of parties will govern together or be in opposition together [read description]

Mar 19, 8:54 PMJan 11, 7:59 AM

2270

OptionProbability

Social Democrats & Danish Social Liberal Party

Social Democrats & Venstre

Social Democrats & Moderates

Social Democrats & Green Left

Venstre & Moderates

Venstre & Green Left

Venstre & Liberal Alliance

Venstre & Conservative People's Party

Venstre & Danish Social Liberal Party

Moderates & Green Left

Moderates & Liberal Alliance

Moderates & Conservative People's Party

Moderates & Danish Social Liberal Party

Green Left & Liberal Alliance

Green Left & Conservative People's Party

Green Left & Danish Social Liberal Party

Liberal Alliance & Conservative People's Party

Liberal Alliance & Danish Social Liberal Party

Conservative People's Party & Danish Social Liberal Party

Social Democrats & Liberal Alliance

Social Democrats & Conservative People's Party

What will happen after President Zelensky signs bill №12414 into law?

Jul 23, 3:49 AMJul 24, 2:46 AM

7205

OptionProbability

An anti-corruption protest with at least 10,000 attendees will take place in a Ukrainian city in July 2025

Volodymyr Zelensky's trust rating will fall below 50% in a poll published by KIIS, Rating or Razumkov in 2025

Ukraine will receive a lower score in the 2026 edition of the Corruption Perceptions Index than in the 2024 edition

The European Commission will issue a formal statement expressing opposition to the law in July 2025

The law will be repealed or annulled in full by the end of 2025

The New York Times will publish an editorial criticising Volodymyr Zelensky by the end of August 2025

The Ukrainian parliament's trust rating will fall below 10% in a poll published by Razumkov in 2025

Donald Trump will describe Volodymyr Zelensky as "corrupt" in July 2025

Will Přísaha or Motoristé sobě gain seats in the next Czech parliament?

Jun 17, 11:56 AMOct 31, 10:59 PM

54.83%chance

8181

OptionVotes

YES

110

Will the UK require biometric ID (e.g. facial recognition or digital fingerprinting) for NHS access by 2030?

Jul 21, 10:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.32%chance

4154

OptionVotes

YES

218

Will Finland legalize euthanasia by 2030?

Mar 5, 12:56 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

60%chance

980

OptionVotes

YES

234

191

Labour initiates legislation to reform or replace Human Rights Act before next election?

Jul 21, 9:50 AMAug 15, 12:00 AM

34.79%chance

465

OptionVotes

YES

137

Will the new EU omnibus be passed by the European Parliament?

Jun 12, 5:14 PMDec 31, 6:12 PM

59.02%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

120

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Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize?

Will the EU impose punitive tariffs on Chinese electric cars before 2030?

Will transnational lists be implemented for the European Parliament elections in 2029?

Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

Will Marine Le Pen be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election?

Next Danish Election: Which pairs of parties will govern together or be in opposition together [read description]

What will happen after President Zelensky signs bill №12414 into law?

Will Přísaha or Motoristé sobě gain seats in the next Czech parliament?

Will the UK require biometric ID (e.g. facial recognition or digital fingerprinting) for NHS access by 2030?

Will Finland legalize euthanasia by 2030?

Labour initiates legislation to reform or replace Human Rights Act before next election?

Will the new EU omnibus be passed by the European Parliament?

Latest stories

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