European Parliament News

Université libre de Bruxelles Names French-Palestinian Eurodeputy Rima Hassan, LFI Member, Godmother of Law Graduates Amid Political Criticism

1 year ago

Elon Musk Endorses Advance UK, Dismisses Farage as “Weak Sauce”

Britain

Politics

World

Elon Musk Endorses Advance UK, Dismisses Farage as “Weak Sauce”

1 year ago

Europe

Tariffs

Economics

EU Moves to Scrap Tariffs on US Industrial Goods, Aiming to Unlock Lower Auto Duties

11 months ago

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize?

Jan 29, 6:49 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

3.45%chance

5640914

OptionVotes

YES

5294

189

Will the EU impose punitive tariffs on Chinese electric cars before 2030?

Sep 13, 9:37 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

93.03%chance

332800

OptionVotes

YES

2957

675

Will transnational lists be implemented for the European Parliament elections in 2029?

May 18, 3:50 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

30.67%chance

122156

OptionVotes

YES

1504

665

Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

May 19, 3:12 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

10.19%chance

52021

OptionVotes

YES

2969

337

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Jan 18, 3:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.84%chance

161051

OptionVotes

YES

585

How many EU countries will have far-right governments in 2027?

Jan 2, 8:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

171041

OptionProbability

7-10

4-6

11-14

>14

Will Finland legalize euthanasia by 2030?

Mar 5, 12:56 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

54.67%chance

11200

OptionVotes

YES

210

207

Will the UK require biometric ID (e.g. facial recognition or digital fingerprinting) for NHS access by 2030?

Jul 21, 10:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.72%chance

5164

OptionVotes

YES

179

When will Volodymyr Zelenskyy announce national elections?

Mar 2, 1:04 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

6151

OptionProbability

Announces elections contingent on ceasefire only

April 15 - May 4, 2026 (before martial law expires)

May 4 - June 30, 2026

July 1 - December 31, 2026

January 1 - June 30, 2027

July 1, 2027 or later

Never announces national elections

Other

March 15 - April 15, 2026

Before March 15, 2026

Labour initiates legislation to reform or replace Human Rights Act before next election?

Jul 21, 9:50 AMAug 15, 12:00 AM

37.02%chance

585

OptionVotes

YES

130

Will the EU Digital Fairness Act be formally adopted (published in the Official Journal of the EU) by December 31, 2028?

Oct 14, 11:21 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM

36%chance

270

OptionVotes

YES

133

Will the new EU omnibus be passed by the European Parliament?

Jun 12, 5:14 PMDec 31, 6:12 PM

59.02%chance

240

OptionVotes

YES

120

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Europe
Tariffs
Economics
EU Moves to Scrap Tariffs on US Industrial Goods, Aiming to Unlock Lower Auto Duties
Authors
55
11 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Belgium
France
Education
Université libre de Bruxelles Names French-Palestinian Eurodeputy Rima Hassan, LFI Member, Godmother of Law Graduates Amid Political Criticism
Authors
5
1 year ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Britain
Politics
World
Elon Musk Endorses Advance UK, Dismisses Farage as “Weak Sauce”
Authors
4
1 year ago

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Prediction markets for European Parliament

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Prediction markets for European Parliament

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize?

Will the EU impose punitive tariffs on Chinese electric cars before 2030?

Will transnational lists be implemented for the European Parliament elections in 2029?

Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

How many EU countries will have far-right governments in 2027?

Will Finland legalize euthanasia by 2030?

Will the UK require biometric ID (e.g. facial recognition or digital fingerprinting) for NHS access by 2030?

When will Volodymyr Zelenskyy announce national elections?

Labour initiates legislation to reform or replace Human Rights Act before next election?

Will the EU Digital Fairness Act be formally adopted (published in the Official Journal of the EU) by December 31, 2028?

Will the new EU omnibus be passed by the European Parliament?

Latest stories

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