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Prediction markets for European Parliament
OptionVotes
5294
189
Will the EU impose punitive tariffs on Chinese electric cars before 2030?
Sep 13, 9:37 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
92.84%chance
322779
OptionVotes
2894
680
Will transnational lists be implemented for the European Parliament elections in 2029?
May 18, 3:50 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM
30.67%chance
122156
OptionVotes
1504
665
Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?
May 19, 3:12 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM
10.19%chance
52021
OptionVotes
2969
337
Will the European Union dissolve before or during 2030?
May 13, 2:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
1.95%chance
191132
OptionVotes
1608
914
Will Marine Le Pen be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election?
May 20, 8:13 AMMar 19, 11:59 PM
9.23%chance
11643
OptionVotes
314
32
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027
Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
63.06%chance
8279
OptionVotes
105
103
Will the UK introduce compulsory English lessons for adult migrants receiving public benefits before 2027?
Jul 21, 10:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30%chance
9166
OptionVotes
153
65
OptionVotes
246
171
Will any country use a new voting system for the 2029 EU election?
Jan 25, 7:56 PMMay 1, 9:59 PM
49.76%chance
7107
OptionVotes
163
133
Will a party other than PiS and PO win any national election in Poland by 2040?
Apr 7, 9:47 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM
66.34%chance
687
OptionVotes
235
140
Will the new EU omnibus be passed by the European Parliament?
Jun 12, 5:14 PMDec 31, 6:12 PM
59.02%chance
120
OptionVotes
120
83
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