European powers News

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi to Discuss Nuclear Talks and Sanctions with UK, France, Germany, EU on Friday

1 year ago

France, Germany and UK Trigger UN 'Snapback' to Restore Iran Sanctions

Middle East

Europe

Politics

France, Germany and UK Trigger UN 'Snapback' to Restore Iran Sanctions

11 months ago

Will a serious war break out between two of the major military powers (NATO, US, China, Russia, Europe) before 2028?

Mar 29, 9:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.27%chance

262759

OptionVotes

YES

2115

473

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Jul 14, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.17%chance

112322

OptionVotes

YES

1724

580

Will Trump tariff European countries over Greenland?

Jan 17, 5:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.64%chance

291835

OptionVotes

YES

325

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Jun 3, 9:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

43.68%chance

281402

OptionVotes

YES

1162

901

Will the European Union dissolve before or during 2030?

May 13, 2:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.02%chance

201133

OptionVotes

YES

1559

915

Will Stuttgart 21 open in 2031?

Jun 9, 1:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.63%chance

61060

OptionVotes

YES

151

How many EU countries will have far-right governments in 2027?

Jan 2, 8:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

171041

OptionProbability

7-10

4-6

11-14

>14

EU officially a federation by January 1, 2040?

Mar 23, 8:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.36%chance

15647

OptionVotes

YES

439

232

Will Poland leave European Union before 2030?

Mar 14, 9:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.86%chance

11362

OptionVotes

YES

321

Will MSFT acquire/merge with OpenAI by the end of 2027?

Apr 1, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

8261

OptionVotes

YES

200

Will there be another nation-wide blackout in Spain by 2027?

Jan 1, 2:38 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

13.2%chance

6247

OptionVotes

YES

364

111

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

48.12%chance

4157

OptionVotes

YES

1091

1011

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Middle East
Europe
Politics
France, Germany and UK Trigger UN 'Snapback' to Restore Iran Sanctions
Authors
73
11 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Middle East
Europe
Politics
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi to Discuss Nuclear Talks and Sanctions with UK, France, Germany, EU on Friday
Authors
9
1 year ago

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Will a serious war break out between two of the major military powers (NATO, US, China, Russia, Europe) before 2028?

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Will Trump tariff European countries over Greenland?

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Will the European Union dissolve before or during 2030?

Will Stuttgart 21 open in 2031?

How many EU countries will have far-right governments in 2027?

EU officially a federation by January 1, 2040?

Will Poland leave European Union before 2030?

Will MSFT acquire/merge with OpenAI by the end of 2027?

Will there be another nation-wide blackout in Spain by 2027?

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

Latest stories

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