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Prediction markets for European powers
Twitter / x.com blocked in the EU or Europe? Multimarket for dates
Mar 9, 5:13 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
155283
OptionProbability
56
56
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
49
48
48
48
48
45
45
42
41
39
30
18
0
0
0
0
Will a serious war break out between two of the major military powers (NATO, US, China, Russia, Europe) before 2028?
Mar 29, 9:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
18.27%chance
262759
OptionVotes
2115
473
OptionVotes
1724
580
Will Trump tariff European countries over Greenland?
Jan 17, 5:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.79%chance
281832
OptionVotes
322
31
OptionVotes
1162
901
Will the European Union dissolve before or during 2030?
May 13, 2:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2.02%chance
201133
OptionVotes
1559
915
OptionProbability
38
31
29
2
0
Which will be the first 6th generation fighter to enter service with a country's military?
Apr 6, 7:46 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
7419
OptionProbability
36
17
15
13
11
8
0
0
OptionVotes
321
31
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027
Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
63.06%chance
8279
OptionVotes
105
103
Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?
Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
48.12%chance
4157
OptionVotes
1091
1011
OptionProbability
76
54
50
43
20
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