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Prediction markets for Executive
[ACX 2026] How many of these 15 top US executive branch officials will be out before 2027?
Jan 7, 12:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2545514
OptionProbability
31
28
23
8
3
3
1
1
1
1
Will there be any significant legislation or executive orders cancelling vote-by-mail in the 2026 federal elections?
Feb 21, 2:05 AMJan 4, 7:59 AM
18.26%chance
5522494
OptionVotes
20673
5320
OptionVotes
2116
936
Will a Hylion executive be convicted of fraud before 2030?
Jul 16, 2:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
17.11%chance
614403
OptionVotes
20258
6180
Will Nidal Hasans execution be livestreamed in 2026?
Oct 9, 6:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
1.15%chance
4913123
OptionVotes
5307
30
[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
Jan 6, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19.57%chance
5212004
OptionVotes
8319
3970
Will Jack MA return as a senior executive to Alibaba by 2026 year end?
Jan 4, 2:36 PMDec 11, 2:59 AM
15%chance
8510715
OptionVotes
6313
1835
OptionVotes
5573
420
Did Israel execute unarmed Gazans on December 19th for no good reason?
Dec 24, 8:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
49.19%chance
774290
OptionVotes
1101
864
OptionVotes
2190
457
Will USPS reject at least 100,000 mail ballots due to Trump's executive order in 2026?
Sep 1, 10:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20.46%chance
101497
OptionVotes
1972
507
Any change to the list of 15 US Government executive departments through mid 2027
Jan 2, 8:12 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM
30.77%chance
9959
OptionVotes
1500
667