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Prediction markets for Executive
[ACX 2026] How many of these 15 top US executive branch officials will be out before 2027?
Jan 7, 12:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2233175
OptionProbability
27
24
22
12
8
3
2
1
1
1
OptionVotes
2116
936
Will a Hylion executive be convicted of fraud before 2030?
Jul 16, 2:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
20.19%chance
512092
OptionVotes
17947
6708
[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
Jan 6, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33.21%chance
388547
OptionVotes
5184
5054
Will Jack MA return as a senior executive to Alibaba by 2026 year end?
Jan 4, 2:36 PMDec 11, 2:59 AM
16.06%chance
796524
OptionVotes
6005
1891
Will there be any significant legislation or executive orders cancelling vote-by-mail in the 2026 federal elections?
Feb 21, 2:05 AMJan 4, 7:59 AM
46.65%chance
305793
OptionVotes
10030
9956
Did Israel execute unarmed Gazans on December 19th for no good reason?
Dec 24, 8:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
47.91%chance
754214
OptionVotes
1126
840
SOAI#10: Trump issues an unconstitutional executive order to ban state AI legislation.
Oct 9, 11:09 PMJan 1, 12:08 AM
82.18%chance
343773
OptionVotes
2147
466
OptionVotes
3582
645
Trump "involved in the appointment" of Iran's next top executive
Mar 6, 1:23 AMJan 22, 1:16 AM
19%chance
121340
OptionVotes
2065
484
OptionVotes
1373
728
Any change to the list of 15 US Government executive departments through mid 2027
Jan 2, 8:12 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM
47.56%chance
8509
OptionVotes
1050
952