Exploration and Production News

1 year ago

Prop bets: What will prediction markets do to society (add your own)

Feb 17, 6:23 PMDec 31, 6:20 PM

11988

OptionProbability

Create new forms of gambling addiction and financial harm

Provide voting public with better information on candidates chances in elections

Lead to manipulation and misinformation through coordinated betting

Increase polarization by incentivizing extreme predictions

Provide public with better information about impact of policies and new legislation

Bring Jeffrey epstein back to life

Make me the President of USA

Will Anthropic announce a consumer hardware product in 2026?

May 8, 5:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.91%chance

16778

OptionVotes

YES

341

Will Brazil implement a four-day work week before 2030?

Oct 12, 3:59 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

5.57%chance

10577

OptionVotes

YES

700

Will Corning or Murata produced QS separators make their way into a sample cell in 2026?

Dec 21, 6:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

88.38%chance

8322

OptionVotes

YES

276

In which year will an AI-generated movie become the first major box office success?

Apr 2, 2:27 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

6272

OptionProbability

2031-2035

2036-2040

2028-2030

2041-2045

2025-2027

2046-2050

Kramer Intelligence overtakes Apple Intelligence by the end of 2026?

Jul 4, 10:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.28%chance

6213

OptionVotes

YES

313

Will "Zootopia 3" be released by the end of 2030?

Dec 2, 6:07 AMDec 31, 11:58 PM

56.94%chance

9199

OptionVotes

YES

116

Will Democrats (2028 Election) pivot to pro-growth Abundance Policies (Ezra Klein + Derek Thompson) 🇺🇸🦾🤑🦅🏗️🏛️

Mar 6, 3:41 AMNov 30, 12:59 PM

47.29%chance

9169

OptionVotes

YES

106

Will Japan produce hydrogen with nuclear power before 2031?

May 9, 8:02 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

61.3%chance

4165

OptionVotes

YES

126

When will Season 3 of Nathan Fielder's The Rehearsal be released?

Apr 27, 1:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3141

OptionProbability

Before 2030

Before 2029

Before 2028

Before 2027

Will a major global food shortage occur by 2030, making it smart to invest in food manufacturers, farms, and agricultura

Mar 29, 4:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23%chance

674

OptionVotes

YES

141

Will Nanotechnology Enable the Creation of Self-Assembling or Morphing Consumer Products Commonplace by 2050?

Nov 19, 1:28 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.4%chance

551

OptionVotes

YES

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Prop bets: What will prediction markets do to society (add your own)

Will Anthropic announce a consumer hardware product in 2026?

Will Brazil implement a four-day work week before 2030?

Will Corning or Murata produced QS separators make their way into a sample cell in 2026?

In which year will an AI-generated movie become the first major box office success?

Kramer Intelligence overtakes Apple Intelligence by the end of 2026?

Will "Zootopia 3" be released by the end of 2030?

Will Democrats (2028 Election) pivot to pro-growth Abundance Policies (Ezra Klein + Derek Thompson) 🇺🇸🦾🤑🦅🏗️🏛️

Will Japan produce hydrogen with nuclear power before 2031?

When will Season 3 of Nathan Fielder's The Rehearsal be released?

Will a major global food shortage occur by 2030, making it smart to invest in food manufacturers, farms, and agricultura

Will Nanotechnology Enable the Creation of Self-Assembling or Morphing Consumer Products Commonplace by 2050?

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