Exploration and Production News

10 months ago

OpenAI confirm work on a Generative Music tool by end of June 2026?

Oct 26, 6:28 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

6.61%chance

276107

OptionVotes

YES

3758

266

Prop bets: What will prediction markets do to society (add your own)

Feb 17, 6:23 PMDec 31, 6:20 PM

11988

OptionProbability

Create new forms of gambling addiction and financial harm

Provide voting public with better information on candidates chances in elections

Lead to manipulation and misinformation through coordinated betting

Increase polarization by incentivizing extreme predictions

Provide public with better information about impact of policies and new legislation

Bring Jeffrey epstein back to life

Make me the President of USA

Will Anthropic announce a consumer hardware product in 2026?

May 8, 5:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.35%chance

15768

OptionVotes

YES

331

Will Corning or Murata produced QS separators make their way into a sample cell in 2026?

Dec 21, 6:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

88.38%chance

8322

OptionVotes

YES

276

In which year will an AI-generated movie become the first major box office success?

Apr 2, 2:27 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

6272

OptionProbability

2031-2035

2036-2040

2028-2030

2041-2045

2025-2027

2046-2050

Within how many years after AGI has been achieved will the U.S. nominal GDP double?

Feb 4, 3:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1200

OptionProbability

4 years

5 years

6 years

7 years

8 years

9 years

10 years

2 years

3 years

1 year

Will Democrats (2028 Election) pivot to pro-growth Abundance Policies (Ezra Klein + Derek Thompson) 🇺🇸🦾🤑🦅🏗️🏛️

Mar 6, 3:41 AMNov 30, 12:59 PM

47.29%chance

9169

OptionVotes

YES

106

Will Japan produce hydrogen with nuclear power before 2031?

May 9, 8:02 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

61.3%chance

4165

OptionVotes

YES

126

Will "Zootopia 3" be released by the end of 2030?

Dec 2, 6:07 AMDec 31, 11:58 PM

50%chance

8161

OptionVotes

YES

101

Will a major global food shortage occur by 2030, making it smart to invest in food manufacturers, farms, and agricultura

Mar 29, 4:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23%chance

674

OptionVotes

YES

141

Will Nanotechnology Enable the Creation of Self-Assembling or Morphing Consumer Products Commonplace by 2050?

Nov 19, 1:28 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.4%chance

551

OptionVotes

YES

will India reduce its dependency on crude oil imports to below 50% of its total crude oil requirements within 10 years?

Apr 4, 11:45 AMApr 4, 11:40 AM

17.69%chance

OptionVotes

YES

103

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Prediction markets for Exploration and Production

Prediction markets for Exploration and Production

Prediction markets for Exploration and Production

OpenAI confirm work on a Generative Music tool by end of June 2026?

Prop bets: What will prediction markets do to society (add your own)

Will Anthropic announce a consumer hardware product in 2026?

Will Corning or Murata produced QS separators make their way into a sample cell in 2026?

In which year will an AI-generated movie become the first major box office success?

Within how many years after AGI has been achieved will the U.S. nominal GDP double?

Will Democrats (2028 Election) pivot to pro-growth Abundance Policies (Ezra Klein + Derek Thompson) 🇺🇸🦾🤑🦅🏗️🏛️

Will Japan produce hydrogen with nuclear power before 2031?

Will "Zootopia 3" be released by the end of 2030?

Will a major global food shortage occur by 2030, making it smart to invest in food manufacturers, farms, and agricultura

Will Nanotechnology Enable the Creation of Self-Assembling or Morphing Consumer Products Commonplace by 2050?

will India reduce its dependency on crude oil imports to below 50% of its total crude oil requirements within 10 years?

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