Exploration and Production News

7 months ago

OpenAI confirm work on a Generative Music tool by end of June 2026?

Oct 26, 6:28 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

60.33%chance

151990

OptionVotes

YES

1233

811

Prop bets: What will prediction markets do to society (add your own)

Feb 17, 6:23 PMDec 31, 6:20 PM

10798

OptionProbability

Create new forms of gambling addiction and financial harm

Provide voting public with better information on candidates chances in elections

Lead to manipulation and misinformation through coordinated betting

Increase polarization by incentivizing extreme predictions

Make me the President of USA

Provide public with better information about impact of policies and new legislation

Bring Jeffrey epstein back to life

Will Brazil implement a four-day work week before 2030?

Oct 12, 3:59 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

5.57%chance

10577

OptionVotes

YES

700

Will Corning or Murata produced QS separators make their way into a sample cell in 2026?

Dec 21, 6:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

88.38%chance

8322

OptionVotes

YES

276

In which year will an AI-generated movie become the first major box office success?

Apr 2, 2:27 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

6272

OptionProbability

2031-2035

2036-2040

2028-2030

2041-2045

2025-2027

2046-2050

Kramer Intelligence overtakes Apple Intelligence by the end of 2026?

Jul 4, 10:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.28%chance

6213

OptionVotes

YES

313

Within how many years after AGI has been achieved will the U.S. nominal GDP double?

Feb 4, 3:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1200

OptionProbability

4 years

5 years

6 years

7 years

8 years

9 years

10 years

2 years

3 years

1 year

Will Democrats (2028 Election) pivot to pro-growth Abundance Policies (Ezra Klein + Derek Thompson) 🇺🇸🦾🤑🦅🏗️🏛️

Mar 6, 3:41 AMNov 30, 12:59 PM

47.29%chance

9169

OptionVotes

YES

106

Will Japan produce hydrogen with nuclear power before 2031?

May 9, 8:02 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

61.3%chance

4165

OptionVotes

YES

126

Will "Zootopia 3" be released by the end of 2030?

Dec 2, 6:07 AMDec 31, 11:58 PM

47.28%chance

6135

OptionVotes

YES

106

Will Nanotechnology Enable the Creation of Self-Assembling or Morphing Consumer Products Commonplace by 2050?

Nov 19, 1:28 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.11%chance

441

OptionVotes

YES

If AI were the internet, what year would we be in with regards to progress and maturity

Feb 16, 11:53 PM

270

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Prediction markets for Exploration and Production

Prediction markets for Exploration and Production

Prediction markets for Exploration and Production

OpenAI confirm work on a Generative Music tool by end of June 2026?

Prop bets: What will prediction markets do to society (add your own)

Will Brazil implement a four-day work week before 2030?

Will Corning or Murata produced QS separators make their way into a sample cell in 2026?

In which year will an AI-generated movie become the first major box office success?

Kramer Intelligence overtakes Apple Intelligence by the end of 2026?

Within how many years after AGI has been achieved will the U.S. nominal GDP double?

Will Democrats (2028 Election) pivot to pro-growth Abundance Policies (Ezra Klein + Derek Thompson) 🇺🇸🦾🤑🦅🏗️🏛️

Will Japan produce hydrogen with nuclear power before 2031?

Will "Zootopia 3" be released by the end of 2030?

Will Nanotechnology Enable the Creation of Self-Assembling or Morphing Consumer Products Commonplace by 2050?

If AI were the internet, what year would we be in with regards to progress and maturity

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