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Prediction markets for Federal Election Commission
OptionProbability
27
22
9
5
4
4
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
1275
784
U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026
Feb 4, 2:18 AMNov 2, 12:00 AM
3%chance
2721165
OptionVotes
17967
2050
Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?
Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
43%chance
8712384
OptionVotes
1151
869
OptionVotes
1188
842
OptionVotes
1178
849
Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026
Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
27.76%chance
141621
OptionVotes
1613
620
Will independent Alex Dyson defeat Liberal Dan Tehan in the seat of Wannon Victoria in the upcoming federal election.
Mar 14, 4:32 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
1%chance
51077
OptionVotes
995
10
Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?
Jul 10, 1:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
42.73%chance
13546
OptionVotes
1158
864
OptionVotes
1047
845
Will any of Trump's children run for presidency in 2028?
Mar 6, 10:42 PMNov 7, 11:59 PM
27.27%chance
16320
OptionVotes
163
61
Will Yulia Navalnaya run for President of Russia before 2030?
Oct 21, 8:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
19.22%chance
4105
OptionVotes
205
49
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