Federal Parliament News

Dr. Aadan Cabdullahi Aw-Xasan Elected Speaker of North Eastern State Parliament in Somalia With 53 Votes; Al-Shabaab Militants Executed

1 year ago

Will Somebody Try to Ban the AfD before 2027?

Jan 20, 9:57 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5%chance

4521169

OptionVotes

YES

4110

564

Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?

Oct 27, 10:32 PMDec 8, 11:59 PM

44.35%chance

244598

OptionVotes

YES

1120

893

Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030

Jul 13, 9:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25.05%chance

52982

OptionVotes

YES

3409

1209

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

Jul 22, 11:40 AMSep 25, 11:37 AM

57.11%chance

122456

OptionVotes

YES

1155

868

Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027?

Apr 30, 5:32 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM

11.47%chance

91913

OptionVotes

YES

2779

360

Will One Nation win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election in Australia?

Jun 23, 4:16 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

19.6%chance

171799

OptionVotes

YES

2025

494

Will Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election?

Mar 5, 3:08 PMSep 27, 11:59 PM

39.82%chance

18674

OptionVotes

YES

123

The next new party to enter the German federal parliament (the Bundestag) will be an Islamic party. 🇩🇪🏛️☪️

Apr 23, 4:55 PMApr 20, 4:51 PM

28.46%chance

7637

OptionVotes

YES

159

How many seats will PHON win in the next federal election?

May 13, 10:41 AMJun 13, 10:41 AM

2456

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 2

Above 4

Above 6

Above 8

Above 10

Above 20

Will the German Constitutional Court restrict Björn Höcke's basic rights?

Feb 3, 11:22 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8342

OptionProbability

The Federal Constitutional Court is not asked to decide.

The Federal Constituional Court is asked but decides that Höcke does not forfeit any basic rights.

The Federal Constitutional Court declares that any of Höcke's basic rights are forfeit.

When will the first One Nation defection or departure in South Australian parliament occur?

Mar 25, 3:17 AMDec 31, 3:15 AM

3175

OptionProbability

No members leave or defect before parliament dissolves

Before 1 July 2026

July to December 2026

During 2027

2028 or later

Prediction markets legalized in India by 2035?

Dec 22, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.99%chance

7157

OptionVotes

YES

153

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Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
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Dr. Aadan Cabdullahi Aw-Xasan Elected Speaker of North Eastern State Parliament in Somalia With 53 Votes; Al-Shabaab Militants Executed
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1 year ago

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Prediction markets for Federal Parliament

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Will Somebody Try to Ban the AfD before 2027?

Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?

Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027?

Will One Nation win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election in Australia?

Will Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election?

The next new party to enter the German federal parliament (the Bundestag) will be an Islamic party. 🇩🇪🏛️☪️

How many seats will PHON win in the next federal election?

Will the German Constitutional Court restrict Björn Höcke's basic rights?

When will the first One Nation defection or departure in South Australian parliament occur?

Prediction markets legalized in India by 2035?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram