Federal Parliament News

Dr. Aadan Cabdullahi Aw-Xasan Elected Speaker of North Eastern State Parliament in Somalia With 53 Votes; Al-Shabaab Militants Executed

10 months ago

Will Somebody Try to Ban the AfD before 2027?

Jan 20, 9:57 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4.59%chance

4118630

OptionVotes

YES

4384

551

Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?

Oct 27, 10:32 PMDec 8, 11:59 PM

50.97%chance

224343

OptionVotes

YES

1020

981

Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030

Jul 13, 9:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25.05%chance

52982

OptionVotes

YES

3409

1209

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

Jul 22, 11:40 AMSep 25, 11:37 AM

57.43%chance

122294

OptionVotes

YES

1163

862

Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027?

Apr 30, 5:32 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM

14%chance

71613

OptionVotes

YES

2479

403

Will Mark Carney still be Prime Minister of Canada on July 1st 2026?

Feb 17, 2:53 AMJul 1, 12:00 AM

97.99%chance

101369

OptionVotes

YES

698

Will the European Union dissolve before or during 2030?

May 13, 2:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.02%chance

201133

OptionVotes

YES

1559

915

The next new party to enter the German federal parliament (the Bundestag) will be an Islamic party. 🇩🇪🏛️☪️

Apr 23, 4:55 PMApr 20, 4:51 PM

28.46%chance

7637

OptionVotes

YES

159

Will Germany's Federal Constitutional Court rule that the 2025 election votes must be recounted (BSW complaint)?

Feb 11, 11:09 AMMar 24, 11:59 PM

8373

OptionProbability

Yes, partial recount

Neither (e. g. court stays neutral and refers the case back to parliament, or no verdict happens before the next election)

Other

Yes, full recount

Will One Nation win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election in Australia?

Jun 23, 4:16 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

37.32%chance

3296

OptionVotes

YES

1296

772

Will One Nation win more seats than the Liberals+Nationals+QLNP+CLP combined at the next Australian federal election?

Feb 2, 12:06 PMMay 19, 1:59 PM

45.03%chance

12238

OptionVotes

YES

110

When will the first One Nation defection or departure in South Australian parliament occur?

Mar 25, 3:17 AMDec 31, 3:15 AM

3175

OptionProbability

No members leave or defect before parliament dissolves

Before 1 July 2026

July to December 2026

During 2027

2028 or later

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Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Somalia
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Dr. Aadan Cabdullahi Aw-Xasan Elected Speaker of North Eastern State Parliament in Somalia With 53 Votes; Al-Shabaab Militants Executed
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10 months ago

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Will Somebody Try to Ban the AfD before 2027?

Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?

Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027?

Will Mark Carney still be Prime Minister of Canada on July 1st 2026?

Will the European Union dissolve before or during 2030?

The next new party to enter the German federal parliament (the Bundestag) will be an Islamic party. 🇩🇪🏛️☪️

Will Germany's Federal Constitutional Court rule that the 2025 election votes must be recounted (BSW complaint)?

Will One Nation win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election in Australia?

Will One Nation win more seats than the Liberals+Nationals+QLNP+CLP combined at the next Australian federal election?

When will the first One Nation defection or departure in South Australian parliament occur?

Latest stories

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