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Figure 02 Robot Folds Laundry Autonomously in CEO’s Home

5

3 days ago

Within the next 5 years, there will be meaningful number of people (>10,000) who treat an LLM as a religious authority figure.

Feb 22, 1:03 PMFeb 23, 4:59 AM

69%chance

159139989

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1698

1437

When will an AI figure out how to beat Factorio?

Sep 23, 4:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8215169

OptionProbability

2025 Jan - 2027 Jan

2027 Jan - 2030 Jan

2030 Jan or later

2023 Jan - 2025 Jan

49

30

20

1

Will someone figure out what my (now deceased) hostile wooden cube was for?

Mar 9, 10:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.88%chance

8111156

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2354

753

Will a mainstream AI model pass the stick figure arrow name test in 2025?

Apr 12, 12:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.47%chance

605883

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

971

Will Figure AI be found to be fraudulent by 2026?

May 18, 6:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69%chance

213692

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1492

670

Donald Trump becomes a Pope-like figure?

Apr 30, 12:47 AMDec 26, 1:29 AM

9.54%chance

263667

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3079

325

Will a benevolent AI create or appoint a human messianic figure within the timeframe of closing + 5yrs?

Nov 9, 2:06 AMDec 26, 5:59 AM

72.12%chance

202561

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1105

860

Will there exist a scholarly consensus in the year 3000 affirming the existence of Jesus as a historical figure?

Jul 28, 12:31 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

75.75%chance

311934

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1054

967

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky use AGI to figure out why he was wrong?

Jan 23, 3:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

28.61%chance

201587

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1112

920

Public figure comes out as a living performance art project before 2030

May 28, 1:35 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

47.58%chance

211069

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1276

435

Cloned historical figure born before 2036

Jun 1, 12:26 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

18.42%chance

17605

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1413

874

The Ministry for the Future Predictions: Will a Drone Swarm Assassinate a Public Figure by 2040?

Feb 8, 12:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.63%chance

16494

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1335

774

Latest stories

Jul 30, 2025
Jul 30, 2025
Robotics
AI Modeling
Tech
Figure 02 Robot Folds Laundry Autonomously in CEO’s Home
Authors
5
3 days ago

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