First Amendment News

Judge Sparkle L. Sooknanan Blocks Trump FTC Probe of Media Matters Citing First Amendment; Tesla Faces Class Action, SpaceX Wins NLRB Ruling

1 year ago

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

26.4%chance

784395091

OptionVotes

YES

6391

3455

Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?

Aug 10, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

81.31%chance

93929

OptionVotes

YES

1134

954

Will Texas legalize split-rate property tax (and thus Land Value Tax) within 5 years?

Nov 6, 4:09 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

31.27%chance

191063

OptionVotes

YES

1966

870

First US state to declare independence?

Jun 8, 5:05 PMDec 31, 6:05 PM

6990

OptionProbability

California

Texas

Other

Washington

Wyoming

Florida

Louisiana

Hawaii

Alaska

Rhode Island

Will another US President hold office for more than 2,922 days? (through 2100)

Jul 3, 6:08 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

43.33%chance

5398

OptionVotes

YES

1144

874

If the Take It Down Act becomes law, will it be used against satirists or journalists?

Mar 17, 4:13 PMMay 21, 6:59 AM

50.46%chance

8375

OptionVotes

YES

1009

991

Press Freedom: will SCOTUS make it easier for politicians to sue media for defamation?

Aug 13, 5:01 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

6345

OptionProbability

Yes, if a MAGA Republican is elected in 2024

Yes, if a Democrat is elected in 2024

Will any AI model released before 2028 reach an Epoch general ECI of at least 200?

Aug 8, 7:13 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

22.3%chance

1250

OptionVotes

YES

6061

4813

When will Volodymyr Zelenskyy announce national elections?

Mar 2, 1:04 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

6151

OptionProbability

Announces elections contingent on ceasefire only

April 15 - May 4, 2026 (before martial law expires)

May 4 - June 30, 2026

July 1 - December 31, 2026

January 1 - June 30, 2027

July 1, 2027 or later

Never announces national elections

Other

March 15 - April 15, 2026

Before March 15, 2026

Constitutional Amendment initiated during Prabowo's First Term as President of Indonesia

Mar 11, 10:35 AMOct 31, 12:00 AM

63.64%chance

3130

OptionVotes

YES

132

What will the US labor force participation rate be for December 2027?

Aug 8, 7:10 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

72.95%chance

125

OptionProbability

YES

1000

904

Will a Millennium Prize Problem resolution be published before 2028 and subsequently verified?

Aug 8, 7:13 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

40.67%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

982

958

Latest stories

Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
US Judiciary
Automobile
Law
Judge Sparkle L. Sooknanan Blocks Trump FTC Probe of Media Matters Citing First Amendment; Tesla Faces Class Action, SpaceX Wins NLRB Ruling
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1 year ago

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Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?

Will Texas legalize split-rate property tax (and thus Land Value Tax) within 5 years?

First US state to declare independence?

Will another US President hold office for more than 2,922 days? (through 2100)

If the Take It Down Act becomes law, will it be used against satirists or journalists?

Press Freedom: will SCOTUS make it easier for politicians to sue media for defamation?

Will any AI model released before 2028 reach an Epoch general ECI of at least 200?

When will Volodymyr Zelenskyy announce national elections?

Constitutional Amendment initiated during Prabowo's First Term as President of Indonesia

What will the US labor force participation rate be for December 2027?

Will a Millennium Prize Problem resolution be published before 2028 and subsequently verified?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram