First Department News

New York Appeals Court Erases Trump $500 Million Fraud Fine; James to Appeal

7 months ago

Trump orders active duty military to NYC by end of 2026?

Nov 5, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.86%chance

113953

OptionVotes

YES

2303

434

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.89%chance

311936

OptionVotes

YES

1629

626

California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?

Nov 11, 10:03 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

37.58%chance

281696

OptionVotes

YES

1378

717

Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2028?

Mar 4, 12:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23%chance

12724

OptionVotes

YES

1265

896

Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2040?

Mar 4, 12:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.21%chance

13500

OptionVotes

YES

1063

955

Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2030?

Mar 4, 12:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.01%chance

12475

OptionVotes

YES

1094

871

Will the DOE Hydrogen Shot Succeed in Reducing the Price of Renewable Hydrogen to $1/kg by 2030?

May 22, 1:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.58%chance

13469

OptionVotes

YES

1225

879

Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027

Feb 9, 10:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.72%chance

11469

OptionVotes

YES

1232

812

Will there be a new census before 2030?

Aug 7, 4:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.11%chance

11402

OptionVotes

YES

1248

802

Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2029?

Mar 4, 12:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.53%chance

14386

OptionVotes

YES

1036

923

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.28%chance

7315

OptionVotes

YES

1051

819

2026 Los Angeles City Controller Election

Nov 9, 7:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Kenneth Mejia (incumbent)

Isadore Hall

Other

Latest stories

Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
US Judiciary
Law
New York
New York Appeals Court Erases Trump $500 Million Fraud Fine; James to Appeal
Authors
12
7 months ago

Join our channels

Get the latest stories live on any device.

WhatsApp
Top Stories
Join
Telegram
Top Stories
Join

First Department News

Top stories

Prediction markets for First Department

Prediction markets for First Department

Prediction markets for First Department

Trump orders active duty military to NYC by end of 2026?

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?

Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2028?

Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2040?

Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2030?

Will the DOE Hydrogen Shot Succeed in Reducing the Price of Renewable Hydrogen to $1/kg by 2030?

Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027

Will there be a new census before 2030?

Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2029?

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

2026 Los Angeles City Controller Election

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram