First Department News

New York Appeals Court Erases Trump $500 Million Fraud Fine; James to Appeal

1 year ago

Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?

Dec 29, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.49%chance

215388

OptionVotes

YES

3796

264

What will be the first metal Trump officially requests for Project Vault?

May 21, 6:20 PMDec 31, 6:37 PM

74271

OptionProbability

Gallium

Germanium

Neodymium

Antimony

Dysprosium

Terbium

Yttrium

Indium

Tantalum

Rhenium

Tellurium

Samarium

Silver

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

75.94%chance

321986

OptionVotes

YES

1679

610

California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?

Nov 11, 10:03 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

37.58%chance

281696

OptionVotes

YES

1378

717

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.59%chance

12744

OptionVotes

YES

1031

884

Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2028?

Mar 4, 12:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23%chance

12724

OptionVotes

YES

1265

896

Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027

Feb 9, 10:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.79%chance

12669

OptionVotes

YES

1432

698

Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2040?

Mar 4, 12:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.21%chance

13500

OptionVotes

YES

1063

955

Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2030?

Mar 4, 12:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.01%chance

12475

OptionVotes

YES

1094

871

Will there be a new census before 2030?

Aug 7, 4:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40%chance

12417

OptionVotes

YES

1225

816

Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2029?

Mar 4, 12:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.6%chance

15411

OptionVotes

YES

1021

948

When will the first One Nation defection or departure in South Australian parliament occur?

Mar 25, 3:17 AMDec 31, 3:15 AM

3175

OptionProbability

No members leave or defect before parliament dissolves

Before 1 July 2026

July to December 2026

During 2027

2028 or later

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Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
US Judiciary
Law
New York
New York Appeals Court Erases Trump $500 Million Fraud Fine; James to Appeal
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1 year ago

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Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?

What will be the first metal Trump officially requests for Project Vault?

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2028?

Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027

Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2040?

Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2030?

Will there be a new census before 2030?

Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2029?

When will the first One Nation defection or departure in South Australian parliament occur?

Latest stories

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Telegram