First Department News

New York Appeals Court Erases Trump $500 Million Fraud Fine; James to Appeal

3 months ago

Will more than 100 people in NYC get Ebola in 2025?

Feb 16, 8:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2.8%chance

2622436

OptionVotes

YES

33335

9294

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.89%chance

311936

OptionVotes

YES

1629

626

California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?

Nov 11, 10:03 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

37.61%chance

271695

OptionVotes

YES

1348

703

Trump orders active duty military to NYC by end of 2026?

Nov 5, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.07%chance

91052

OptionVotes

YES

1104

906

Will any head of executive department appointed in the 2025-2029 Administration leave office in 2025?

Nov 10, 10:44 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

57%chance

12518

OptionVotes

YES

1151

869

Will the DOE Hydrogen Shot Succeed in Reducing the Price of Renewable Hydrogen to $1/kg by 2030?

May 22, 1:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.58%chance

13469

OptionVotes

YES

1225

879

Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2040?

Mar 4, 12:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.65%chance

12450

OptionVotes

YES

1013

978

Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2028?

Mar 4, 12:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30%chance

11440

OptionVotes

YES

998

982

Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2029?

Mar 4, 12:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.53%chance

14386

OptionVotes

YES

1036

923

Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2030?

Mar 4, 12:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.2%chance

12375

OptionVotes

YES

1004

994

Will there be a new census before 2030?

Aug 7, 4:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.08%chance

10352

OptionVotes

YES

1198

835

2026 Los Angeles City Controller Election

Nov 9, 7:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Kenneth Mejia (incumbent)

Isadore Hall

Other

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Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
US Judiciary
Law
New York
New York Appeals Court Erases Trump $500 Million Fraud Fine; James to Appeal
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3 months ago

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Will more than 100 people in NYC get Ebola in 2025?

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?

Trump orders active duty military to NYC by end of 2026?

Will any head of executive department appointed in the 2025-2029 Administration leave office in 2025?

Will the DOE Hydrogen Shot Succeed in Reducing the Price of Renewable Hydrogen to $1/kg by 2030?

Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2040?

Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2028?

Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2029?

Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2030?

Will there be a new census before 2030?

2026 Los Angeles City Controller Election

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram