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Top stories

Inmates Flood Vendin-le-Vieil High-Security Wing in Coordinated Protest

Inmates Flood Vendin-le-Vieil High-Security Wing in Coordinated Protest

Authors

3

11 months ago

Prediction markets for FO

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

Dec 30, 3:16 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

47.81%chance

34782796726

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10702

8831

Will there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?

Feb 2, 2:06 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

50.18%chance

223117871

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13138

3050

Will proof of life of extraterrestrial origin be found by 2100?

Jun 26, 9:08 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

72.55%chance

12799163

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2230

585

Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 6:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

91.11%chance

33095892

OptionVotes

NO

YES

19375

4265

Will there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?

Jun 24, 1:17 PMSep 3, 4:00 AM

30.42%chance

2154258

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16293

6948

Will the US implement some form of capital control by 2029?

Mar 9, 11:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.62%chance

5411110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6126

3286

Will all 500 billion dollars from Project Stargate actually get invested within four years?

Jan 22, 3:37 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM

29.42%chance

6010049

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5703

4805

When we first meet (intelligent, advanced) aliens, will they value increasing happiness and reducing suffering of all sentient life forms?

Sep 20, 2:31 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

40%chance

454104

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1057

822

Will "Measuring no CoT math time horizon (single fo..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Dec 26, 10:18 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

12.67%chance

3290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1106

986

Where will the next treasure from The Secret be found?

May 16, 3:59 PMDec 6, 4:57 PM

00

OptionProbability

San Francisco, CA

Charleston, SC

Roanoke Island, NC

St. Augustine, FL

Houston, TX

Milwaukee, WI

Montreal, QC

New Orleans, LA

New York, NY

Other

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

Will Ford Emissions end at?

Mar 8, 9:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Below 3.2

3.2 - 3.4

3.4 - 3.6

3.6 - 3.8

3.8 - 4.0

Above 4.0

17

17

17

17

17

17

Spikeball: Hawken and Forrest vs Connor and Eli

Jan 26, 12:18 AMMay 16, 11:17 PM

00

OptionProbability

Hawken and Forrest

Eli and Connor

50

50

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
France
World
Inmates Flood Vendin-le-Vieil High-Security Wing in Coordinated Protest
Authors
3
11 months ago

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