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Top stories

Inmates Flood Vendin-le-Vieil High-Security Wing in Coordinated Protest

Inmates Flood Vendin-le-Vieil High-Security Wing in Coordinated Protest

Authors

3

8 months ago

Prediction markets for FO

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

Dec 30, 3:16 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

48.91%chance

34712790543

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10481

9038

Will there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?

Feb 2, 2:06 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

43.54%chance

218117028

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12490

3787

Will proof of life of extraterrestrial origin be found by 2100?

Jun 26, 9:08 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

67%chance

12598800

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2002

684

Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 6:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

87%chance

31987996

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14424

4861

Will there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?

Jun 24, 1:17 PMSep 3, 4:00 AM

30.42%chance

2154258

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16293

6948

Will the US implement some form of capital control by 2029?

Mar 9, 11:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.62%chance

5411110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6126

3286

Will all 500 billion dollars from Project Stargate actually get invested within four years?

Jan 22, 3:37 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM

28.82%chance

5910001

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5814

4759

When we first meet (intelligent, advanced) aliens, will they value increasing happiness and reducing suffering of all sentient life forms?

Sep 20, 2:31 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

40%chance

454104

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1057

822

Will "Measuring no CoT math time horizon (single fo..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Dec 26, 10:18 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

12.67%chance

3290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1106

986

What format will 'Jet Lag: The Game - Season Nineteen' take? (Read Description)

May 7, 3:07 AMJun 7, 3:07 AM

00

OptionProbability

Chase

Object Capture

Race

Territory Capture

Hide and Seek

Line Drawing

New

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

Which target will Tianwen-6 mission focus on?

Jul 10, 6:28 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Mercury

Venus

Mars

An asteroid

Jupiter

Saturn

Uranus

Neptune

A dwarf planet

A comet

Other

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

Will Ford Emissions end at?

Mar 8, 9:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Below 3.2

3.2 - 3.4

3.4 - 3.6

3.6 - 3.8

3.8 - 4.0

Above 4.0

17

17

17

17

17

17

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
France
World
Inmates Flood Vendin-le-Vieil High-Security Wing in Coordinated Protest
Authors
3
8 months ago

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