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Top stories

Inmates Flood Vendin-le-Vieil High-Security Wing in Coordinated Protest

Inmates Flood Vendin-le-Vieil High-Security Wing in Coordinated Protest

Authors

3

7 months ago

Prediction markets for FO

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

Dec 30, 3:16 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

54.36%chance

34552766296

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10139

9450

Will there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?

Feb 2, 2:06 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

49.28%chance

215110789

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13048

3140

Will proof of life of extraterrestrial origin be found by 2100?

Jun 26, 9:08 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

67.34%chance

12498323

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2014

677

Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 6:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

75.68%chance

30575155

OptionVotes

NO

YES

8484

6150

Will there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?

Jun 24, 1:17 PMSep 3, 4:00 AM

30.42%chance

2154258

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16293

6948

Will the US implement some form of capital control by 2029?

Mar 9, 11:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.62%chance

5411110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6126

3286

Will all 500 billion dollars from Project Stargate actually get invested within four years?

Jan 22, 3:37 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM

28.82%chance

5910001

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5814

4759

When we first meet (intelligent, advanced) aliens, will they value increasing happiness and reducing suffering of all sentient life forms?

Sep 20, 2:31 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

40%chance

444082

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1057

822

Will "Measuring no CoT math time horizon (single fo..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Dec 26, 10:18 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

12.67%chance

3290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1106

986

Which target will Tianwen-6 mission focus on?

Jul 10, 6:28 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Mercury

Venus

Mars

An asteroid

Jupiter

Saturn

Uranus

Neptune

A dwarf planet

A comet

Other

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

Spikeball: Hawken and Forrest vs Connor and Eli

Jan 26, 12:18 AMMay 16, 11:17 PM

00

OptionProbability

Hawken and Forrest

Eli and Connor

50

50

Who wins the 2026 United Football League championship?

Mar 17, 2:35 AMJun 13, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Birmingham Stallions

Columbus Aviators

Dallas Renegades

DC Defenders

Houston Gamblers

Louisville Kings

Orlando Storm

St. Louis Battlehawks

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
France
World
Inmates Flood Vendin-le-Vieil High-Security Wing in Coordinated Protest
Authors
3
7 months ago

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