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Prediction markets for forces
Will USA use military force to take control over either Greenland, Canada or the Panama Canal before 2029?
Jan 8, 5:59 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
12.62%chance
7224827
OptionVotes
2632
380
Will Trump be removed or resign from office if he uses military force against Greenland?
Jan 18, 11:47 AMJan 20, 11:59 AM
27.21%chance
10118004
OptionVotes
2478
1665
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be killed by US/Israeli forces in 2026?
Mar 4, 8:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
39.46%chance
547016
OptionVotes
1239
807
If China attacks Taiwan, will they fight US forces within a month?
Oct 24, 8:42 AMFeb 2, 5:59 AM
47.4%chance
526794
OptionVotes
1251
659
Will a new fundamental physical force be discovered by January 1, 2040?
May 18, 2:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
14%chance
274124
OptionVotes
2478
403
Conditional on the Tik-tok bill being passed, will the US government force a change in Twitter's ownership by 2030?
Mar 13, 5:24 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
26.32%chance
191491
OptionVotes
1023
838
Will regulators force a split in Alphabet before 2030?
Jul 19, 4:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22.64%chance
291413
OptionVotes
1076
948
Will JPMorgan force their employees to use generative AI for analyses, reports or other work in 2026?
Dec 31, 6:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20.57%chance
111235
OptionVotes
1208
939
Will a international AI watchdog body enter into force by May 30, 2027?
Jun 15, 1:27 PMMay 31, 4:00 AM
64.02%chance
20691
OptionVotes
1093
775
Will we discover a fifth fundamental force before 2050?
Dec 6, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.35%chance
27529
OptionVotes
991
989
Will Russia be added to the Financial Action Task Force blacklist before 2050?
Oct 16, 11:20 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM
50.88%chance
6195
OptionVotes
1018
983
Facebook will ship a clearly traditional Avatar system on PC by mid 2026, no more forced ambiguous self-presentatation
Jan 10, 9:22 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
49.98%chance
380
OptionVotes
1000
1000