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Prediction markets for forces
Will @ElonMusk force people to see his X posts even if blocked?
Sep 24, 3:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
4.28%chance
75107935
OptionVotes
47945
2368
If China attacks Taiwan, will they fight US forces within a month?
Oct 24, 8:42 AMFeb 2, 5:59 AM
37.42%chance
485444
OptionVotes
1455
509
Will a new fundamental physical force be discovered by January 1, 2040?
May 18, 2:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
12.7%chance
253714
OptionVotes
2622
381
Conditional on the Tik-tok bill being passed, will the US government force a change in Twitter's ownership by 2030?
Mar 13, 5:24 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
26.32%chance
191491
OptionVotes
1023
838
FDA/WHOOP Warning Letter - Will the FDA force Whoop to suspend BP Insights features (until 510k clearance is granted)?
Aug 19, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:27 PM
42.14%chance
91206
OptionVotes
1172
853
Will Tesla ever be forced to rename their "Autopilot" technology?
Oct 27, 12:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
49.34%chance
19973
OptionVotes
1078
909
Will a international AI watchdog body enter into force by May 30, 2027?
Jun 15, 1:27 PMMay 31, 4:00 AM
64.02%chance
20691
OptionVotes
1093
775
Will we discover a fifth fundamental force before 2050?
Dec 6, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.35%chance
27529
OptionVotes
991
989
Will the US Civilian labor force participation rate in January 2026 be above that in January 2022?
Aug 8, 11:48 PMFeb 1, 6:59 AM
46.7%chance
13459
OptionVotes
1249
511
OptionVotes
1117
798
Will Russia be added to the Financial Action Task Force blacklist before 2050?
Oct 16, 11:20 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM
50.88%chance
6195
OptionVotes
1018
983
Facebook will ship a clearly traditional Avatar system on PC by mid 2026, no more forced ambiguous self-presentatation
Jan 10, 9:22 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
49.98%chance
380
OptionVotes
1000
1000