Founders Fund News

Trump Jr.’s 1789 Capital Pours Eight-Figure Sum Into Polymarket Ahead of US Relaunch

8 months ago

Sleep-Tech Firm Eight Sleep Raises $100 Million for AI Beds, Eyes China

AI Products

AI Fundraising

Sleep-Tech Firm Eight Sleep Raises $100 Million for AI Beds, Eyes China

9 months ago

Leaked Emails Show Epstein Courting Global Surveillance Tech Deals

Epstein Files

Startups

Leaked Emails Show Epstein Courting Global Surveillance Tech Deals

8 months ago

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Jan 18, 10:56 AMMay 31, 10:59 PM

52.64%chance

475746

OptionVotes

YES

1054

949

How much will Manifund's Falcon Fund raise by May 15?

Apr 25, 1:13 AMApr 25, 6:59 AM

85305

OptionProbability

Below $500,000

$500,000 - $999,999

$1,000,000 - $1,999,999

$2,000,000 - $2,999,999

$3,000,000 - $4,000,000

Above $4,000,000

Will research into digital sentience / the fundamental nature of consciousness get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 7:12 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

68.62%chance

211582

OptionVotes

YES

1331

784

Will Nectome have a legally separate nonprofit dedicated to storing patients by the end of the year?

Mar 18, 10:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.55%chance

101455

OptionVotes

YES

1379

725

Will I launch a startup by the end of 2026?

Jun 18, 3:45 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25%chance

231085

OptionVotes

YES

1290

870

When will Anduril Industries IPO?

May 29, 11:56 AMDec 31, 12:55 PM

5787

OptionProbability

Q2 2027

Q4 2026

Q3 2026

Q3 2027

Q1 2027

Q2 2026

Q4 2027

2028 or later

Anduril will not IPO

Q3 2025

Q4 2025

Q1 2026

Will Dome (YC startup) succeed before 2027?

Oct 23, 9:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.31%chance

5550

OptionVotes

YES

1192

839

Will Virgin Galactic still exist in 2030?

Jul 3, 9:49 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

40.69%chance

3391

OptionVotes

YES

1103

922

Will cryonics or brain-emulation research get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 4:04 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

35.72%chance

13340

OptionVotes

YES

1164

891

Will Clean Air Task Force be recommended as a top charity by Founders Pledge or Giving Green in 2026?

May 23, 3:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76%chance

5314

OptionVotes

YES

334

180

Will mass-movement political activism for AI regulation (such as "PauseAI") get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Nov 1, 7:46 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

70.79%chance

14181

OptionVotes

YES

1013

986

Will Georgism (aka land value taxes) get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 30, 6:11 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

29.01%chance

669

OptionVotes

YES

242

153

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Founders Fund News

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Prediction markets for Founders Fund

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

How much will Manifund's Falcon Fund raise by May 15?

Will research into digital sentience / the fundamental nature of consciousness get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will Nectome have a legally separate nonprofit dedicated to storing patients by the end of the year?

Will I launch a startup by the end of 2026?

When will Anduril Industries IPO?

Will Dome (YC startup) succeed before 2027?

Will Virgin Galactic still exist in 2030?

Will cryonics or brain-emulation research get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will Clean Air Task Force be recommended as a top charity by Founders Pledge or Giving Green in 2026?

Will mass-movement political activism for AI regulation (such as "PauseAI") get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will Georgism (aka land value taxes) get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Latest stories

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