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Prediction markets for Founders Fund
Will research into digital sentience / the fundamental nature of consciousness get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 31, 7:12 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
72.55%chance
251885
OptionVotes
1481
722
OptionVotes
1730
753
Will Nectome have a legally separate nonprofit dedicated to storing patients by the end of the year?
Mar 18, 10:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
70.05%chance
121605
OptionVotes
1529
654
OptionVotes
1192
839
OptionVotes
1120
910
Will cryonics or brain-emulation research get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 31, 4:04 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
39.03%chance
15395
OptionVotes
1072
946
Will wild-animal welfare interventions get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 29, 2:14 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
72.85%chance
12265
OptionVotes
354
219
Will mass-movement political activism for AI regulation (such as "PauseAI") get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Nov 1, 7:46 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
70.23%chance
16261
OptionVotes
994
994
Will stable-totalitarianism prevention get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 31, 2:30 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
53.7%chance
7130
OptionVotes
227
221
Will Georgism (aka land value taxes) get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 30, 6:11 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
29.01%chance
669
OptionVotes
242
153
Will Mistral AI and/or its investors sue Juan Branco for Defamation in 2026
Sep 20, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32%chance
148
OptionVotes
146
69
Will mitigation of AI propaganda & "botpocalypse" concerns get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Nov 1, 9:04 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
59.64%chance
643
OptionVotes
223
191
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