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Prediction markets for Fund
Manifest 2025 Startup Pitch Competition - Will at least 3 companies get funding?
May 9, 3:23 PMAug 31, 10:59 PM
24.25%chance
73163495
OptionVotes
111734
28057
Will GiveWell fund Intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) for malaria by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
37.79%chance
1964882
OptionVotes
6128
4633
Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25.5%chance
1812354
OptionVotes
9625
2195
Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 4:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
26.08%chance
188507
OptionVotes
6378
3288
Will GiveWell fund Post-discharge malaria chemoprevention (PMC) for children with severe anemia by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 6:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
23.08%chance
127430
OptionVotes
7704
2333
Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 6:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.7%chance
266994
OptionVotes
7748
3856
Will GiveWell fund probiotic supplementation for preterm newborns by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 4:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
29.71%chance
156504
OptionVotes
6529
2770
Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19.05%chance
145589
OptionVotes
7177
3289
Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22.01%chance
175392
OptionVotes
9916
2845
Will GiveWell fund Eave tubes to control malaria by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 7:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33.09%chance
124921
OptionVotes
5899
3086
Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.96%chance
123209
OptionVotes
6132
3376
Will a Manifest speaker run a direct science funding Organization by mid 2027?
Jun 9, 9:27 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
52.36%chance
22432
OptionVotes
10483
9539
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