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Prediction markets for Future Tech
OptionProbability
45
18
15
12
9
OptionVotes
1705
875
Manifold markets next valuation > $20m if announced by EOY 2026?
Jan 6, 9:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
57.76%chance
162630
OptionVotes
1170
856
Will any major conference issue a ban on scheduling games with Texas Tech as a result of the Sorsby situation in 2026?
Jun 9, 5:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.54%chance
61911
OptionVotes
2578
71
Will Substack implement an automatic AI-generated-content filter by EoY 2026?
Aug 2, 9:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
29.07%chance
81347
OptionVotes
1562
640
Will Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft get into pharma in the next 5 years?
Jun 13, 7:39 AMJun 13, 8:59 PM
66.67%chance
14463
OptionVotes
1089
935
Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques?
May 6, 4:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
37.73%chance
18430
OptionVotes
1147
1002
Will a Big Tech CEO run for president of the US by 2032
Aug 28, 7:51 PMNov 2, 10:59 PM
43.64%chance
983
OptionVotes
715
706
In a future where it is technologically feasible, given a choice, would you choose to wirehead yourself?
Aug 14, 7:27 AMApr 7, 6:29 PM
630
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