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Top stories

Gemini Secures MiCA License From Malta, Authorized for MiFID II Derivatives, Expands Crypto Services Across 30+ European Countries

Gemini Secures MiCA License From Malta, Authorized for MiFID II Derivatives, Expands Crypto Services Across 30+ European Countries

Authors

7

1 year ago

Winklevoss Twins Donate $21 Million in Bitcoin to Pro-Trump Crypto PAC

Winklevoss Twins Donate $21 Million in Bitcoin to Pro-Trump Crypto PAC

Authors

11

1 year ago

Gemini Overtakes Coinbase in US iOS Finance Rankings After XRP Card Launch

Gemini Overtakes Coinbase in US iOS Finance Rankings After XRP Card Launch

Authors

8

1 year ago

Winklevoss Twins File to Take Gemini Public Amid Losses as Bitwise Completes First In-Kind Bitcoin Spot ETF Exchange

Authors

11

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Gemini

Will the next full gemini model be as good as opus 4.7 or gpt 5.5 at coding?

May 19, 1:01 AMJan 1, 2:00 AM

95.67%chance

8516426

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4700

213

Gemini 4 released in 2026?

Dec 14, 7:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

95.88%chance

5513608

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5188

334

Will the next full gemini model be frontier at coding?

May 20, 4:22 AMOct 1, 4:20 AM

10.16%chance

416981

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2973

336

Is Gemini going to be used widely as a verb like how Google is used by EOY 2026?

Feb 27, 1:15 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.12%chance

273071

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2340

866

Google deploys ads in Gemini web or mobile app by end of 2026

Jan 8, 5:08 AMDec 31, 8:00 PM

9.64%chance

282136

OptionVotes

YES

NO

306

33

Will "Saving Gemini: The 9-Min Road to Recovery" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jul 3, 1:00 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

9.46%chance

8750

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1465

940

Will Gemini Flash 3.6 achieve a mortal rating of 70 or higher in Riichi Mahjong?

Sep 9, 11:54 PMOct 9, 10:59 PM

30.21%chance

4527

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1520

658

Will "Gemini Diffusion: watch this space" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 21, 10:58 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

9.49%chance

4460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1460

940

Will the next major AI model (GPT-5, Gemini 2.0, etc.) be able to correctly predict this market's resolution?

Dec 14, 12:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.91%chance

8249

OptionVotes

NO

YES

163

89

Will "Gemini 3 is Evaluation-Paranoid and Contaminated" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Nov 21, 6:50 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.33%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

992

Will "Gemini's Hypothetical Present" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Mar 1, 9:48 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.33%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

992

Will "Research Notes: Running Claude 3.7, Gemini 2...." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 23, 8:50 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

15.79%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

885

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