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Top stories

Samsung's Choi Won-Joon Confirms Talks With OpenAI, Perplexity and Potential Investment Ahead of Galaxy S26, Expanding AI Beyond Gemini

Samsung's Choi Won-Joon Confirms Talks With OpenAI, Perplexity and Potential Investment Ahead of Galaxy S26, Expanding AI Beyond Gemini

Authors

12

8 days ago

Peter Thiel-Backed Crypto Exchange Bullish Files for IPO on NYSE Under Ticker BLSH; BitGo Also Confidentially Files

Peter Thiel-Backed Crypto Exchange Bullish Files for IPO on NYSE Under Ticker BLSH; BitGo Also Confidentially Files

Authors

23

14 days ago

Coinbase Unveils ‘Everything Exchange’ Bringing Tokenized Stocks to US Users

Prediction Markets

Coinbase Unveils ‘Everything Exchange’ Bringing Tokenized Stocks to US Users

Authors

11

2 days ago

Prediction markets for Gemini

Is Gemini going to be used widely as a verb like how Google is used by EOY 2026?

Feb 27, 1:15 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.91%chance

231621

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1890

882

Will Gemini join the S&P 500?

Jan 2, 1:05 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

2.4%chance

101501

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1998

906

Gemini 3 releases before GPT-5?

Jul 12, 4:33 PMJul 12, 4:32 PM

10.93%chance

221045

OptionVotes

YES

NO

285

35

Will the next Gemini model have a stupid fucking name?

Jun 17, 5:52 PMDec 31, 5:31 PM

56.61%chance

131029

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1142

876

Google Gemini stock

Feb 16, 4:38 AM

18862

OptionProbability

NO

YES

275

61

Will Gemini be more popular than Chatgpt at the end of 2025?

Jan 15, 3:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.31%chance

22695

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1262

930

Will Google Gemini pass ChatGPT in the App Store by EOY?

Mar 27, 11:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.7%chance

16494

OptionVotes

YES

NO

305

33

Will "Gemini Diffusion: watch this space" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 21, 10:58 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

9.84%chance

3410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1410

946

Will AlphaEvolve reduce Gemini training time by at least 5% by the end of 2025?

May 16, 3:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.36%chance

6215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

218

46

When will someone be able to recreate Google's Hands-on with Gemini video for the first time?

Dec 12, 4:33 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

5168

OptionProbability

First half of 2025

Second half of 2025

2026 or later

Q3 2024

Q4 2024

Q1 2024

Q2 2024

22

17

17

12

12

11

11

Gemini 2.5 Pro DeepThink gets on Humanity's Last Exam leaderboard before September?

Aug 2, 11:49 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM

18.34%chance

2111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

211

47

Will "Research Notes: Running Claude 3.7, Gemini 2...." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 23, 8:50 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

15.79%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

885

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