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Top stories

Tesla Adds Lucid and Honda EVs to 23,500-Plug Supercharger Network

Tesla Adds Lucid and Honda EVs to 23,500-Plug Supercharger Network

Authors

7

11 days ago

Walmart de México Shares Plunge Nearly 61 Billion Pesos Amid Market Drop; IPC Down 0.58%, Grupo Carso and GM Also Decline

Company Earnings

Walmart de México Shares Plunge Nearly 61 Billion Pesos Amid Market Drop; IPC Down 0.58%, Grupo Carso and GM Also Decline

Authors

6

11 days ago

Trump Defends New 50% Tariff Plan, Cites $108 Billion Cash Haul

Executive Orders

Trump Defends New 50% Tariff Plan, Cites $108 Billion Cash Haul

Authors

9

2 days ago

US Foreign Policy

Trump Moves to Cement Legal Basis for 50% Tariffs on Brazil

Authors

8

8 days ago

Prediction markets for General Motors

Which car company will drive between New York to San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat first?

Sep 9, 12:44 PMSep 16, 10:59 PM

7756615

OptionProbability

Tesla

Waymo

Other

openpilot

General Motors

Cavendish Labs

None (does not happen by market close)

73

23

3

0

0

0

0

CEO Tontine - which three of these twenty CEOs will survive longest?

Nov 19, 4:36 PMNov 27, 7:59 AM

4716252

OptionProbability

Mark Zuckerberg at Meta

Jensen Huang at Nvidia

Tim Cook at Apple

Dario Amodei at Anthropic

Elon Musk at Tesla

Andrew Wilson at Electronic Arts

Ma Huateng at Tencent

Sundar Pichai at Google

Mary Barra at General Motors

Shantanu Narayen at Adobe

Andy Jassy at Amazon

Doug McMillon at Walmart

David Solomon at Goldman Sachs

Masayoshi Son at SoftBank

C. C. Wei at TSMC

Bob Iger at Disney

Warren Buffett at Berkshire Hathaway

Pat Gelsinger at Intel

Herbert Diess at Volkswagen

Linda Yaccarino at Twitter

66

28

27

23

21

19

19

18

18

18

17

17

17

16

12

3

1

0

0

0

CEO Tontine - next three CEOs out will go to 100%, others to 0%

Jul 9, 9:43 PMDec 31, 10:42 PM

346154

OptionProbability

Warren Buffett at Berkshire Hathaway

Bob Iger at Disney

Herbert Diess at Volkswagen

Masayoshi Son at SoftBank

Elon Musk at Tesla

Sundar Pichai at Google

C. C. Wei at TSMC

Tim Cook at Apple

Andrew Wilson at Electronic Arts

Mary Barra at General Motors

David Solomon at Goldman Sachs

Andy Jassy at Amazon

Doug McMillon at Walmart

Shantanu Narayen at Adobe

Ma Huateng at Tencent

Dario Amodei at Anthropic

Mark Zuckerberg at Meta

Jensen Huang at Nvidia

90

52

50

29

23

15

15

14

14

14

14

9

9

9

8

7

6

5

Will one of the “Big Three” automakers (GM/Ford/Stellantis) file for bankruptcy before 2027?

Jul 31, 11:02 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

38.84%chance

312125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

898

Will General Motors go bankrupt before 2030?

Sep 24, 6:03 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

28.51%chance

261867

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1139

909

Which company will win the self-driving car race?

Jun 12, 12:44 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

331645

OptionProbability

#Tesla

BYD

Other

Waymo

General Motors (GM)

Mobileye

Huawei

Baidu Inc

Ford

Comma AI

51

23

15

8

1

1

1

0

0

0

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?

Apr 17, 7:54 PMDec 14, 12:00 PM

72%chance

14346

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1091

949

By what year will non-invasive brain-computer interfaces for general consumers be used by more than 1 million people?

Dec 30, 6:54 PMDec 30, 12:00 AM

8.57%chance

9335

OptionProbability

NO

YES

395

333

Which car manufacturer will sell a SAE level 3 feature next after BMW?

Mar 28, 7:11 PMSep 9, 9:59 PM

5114

OptionProbability

Other

Hyundai

General Motors

Tesla

Toyota

Stellantis

Ford

Volkswagen

Volvo

Geely

17

14

12

11

8

8

8

8

7

6

Will any of Ford / General Motors / Stellantis file for any chapter of bankruptcy prior to January 1, 2026?

Sep 27, 3:57 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

18.99%chance

7111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

199

73

Will Buick sell 20k+ EVs in the US in 2030?

Oct 5, 10:04 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

54.75%chance

1100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

909

Will any of FORD / GENERAL MOTORS / STELLANTIS declare any chapter of bankruptcy between now and 2027?

Jan 2, 1:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.56%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

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