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Top stories

NHTSA Probes 1.4 Million Honda and Acura 3.5L V-6 Vehicles (2016-2020) for Engine Failure; GM and Ford Issue Recalls

NHTSA Probes 1.4 Million Honda and Acura 3.5L V-6 Vehicles (2016-2020) for Engine Failure; GM and Ford Issue Recalls

Authors

19

1 year ago

Tesla Raises Cybertruck Cyberbeast Price to $114,990, Bundles Luxe Package

Tesla Raises Cybertruck Cyberbeast Price to $114,990, Bundles Luxe Package

Authors

16

1 year ago

Cadillac F1 Rules Out Hiring Ex-Red Bull Chief Christian Horner

Cadillac F1 Rules Out Hiring Ex-Red Bull Chief Christian Horner

Authors

6

1 year ago

Prediction markets for General Motors

Which car company will drive between New York to San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat first?

Sep 9, 12:44 PMSep 16, 10:59 PM

7757100

OptionProbability

Tesla

Waymo

Other

openpilot

General Motors

Cavendish Labs

None (does not happen by market close)

80

15

5

0

0

0

0

Donut Battery powered car delivered by EOY 2030?

Jan 6, 2:16 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

10.05%chance

3953132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

29934

3345

CEO Tontine - next three CEOs out will go to 100%, others to 0% - one Out

Jul 9, 9:43 PMDec 31, 10:25 PM

5537419

OptionProbability

Warren Buffett at Berkshire Hathaway

Doug McMillon at Walmart

Bob Iger at Disney

Herbert Diess at Volkswagen

Mark Zuckerberg at Meta

Andy Jassy at Amazon

Sundar Pichai at Google

Dario Amodei at Anthropic

Andrew Wilson at Electronic Arts

Mary Barra at General Motors

David Solomon at Goldman Sachs

Jensen Huang at Nvidia

C. C. Wei at TSMC

Ma Huateng at Tencent

Elon Musk at Tesla

Shantanu Narayen at Adobe

Masayoshi Son at SoftBank

Tim Cook at Apple

100

100

100

50

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

CEO Tontine - which three of these twenty CEOs will survive longest?

Nov 19, 4:36 PMNov 27, 7:59 AM

5826717

OptionProbability

Mark Zuckerberg at Meta

Jensen Huang at Nvidia

Dario Amodei at Anthropic

Elon Musk at Tesla

Sundar Pichai at Google

Ma Huateng at Tencent

Shantanu Narayen at Adobe

Andy Jassy at Amazon

Mary Barra at General Motors

Andrew Wilson at Electronic Arts

David Solomon at Goldman Sachs

Masayoshi Son at SoftBank

C. C. Wei at TSMC

Tim Cook at Apple

Warren Buffett at Berkshire Hathaway

Doug McMillon at Walmart

Pat Gelsinger at Intel

Bob Iger at Disney

Herbert Diess at Volkswagen

Linda Yaccarino at Twitter

67

27

26

21

20

20

20

18

18

17

17

17

12

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

What other companies and brands will the Trump administration nationally socialize?

Aug 24, 3:22 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

346089

OptionProbability

Raytheon / RTX

Boeing

OAN

Lockheed Martin

ExxonMobil

Northrop Grumman

General Dynamics

Palantir

Chevron

Newsmax

SpaceX

CNN

TikTok

The Washington Post

27

24

23

21

20

20

20

17

15

14

10

10

7

6

Will one of the “Big Three” automakers (GM/Ford/Stellantis) file for bankruptcy before 2027?

Jul 31, 11:02 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

15.29%chance

363503

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2272

514

Will General Motors go bankrupt before 2030?

Sep 24, 6:03 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

18.77%chance

272367

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1639

758

Which company will win the self-driving car race?

Jun 12, 12:44 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

352017

OptionProbability

Huawei

Other

BYD

Waymo

#Tesla

Baidu Inc

General Motors (GM)

Mobileye

Ford

Comma AI

22

21

20

19

15

1

1

1

0

0

Will Buick sell 20k+ EVs in the US in 2030?

Oct 5, 10:04 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

24.42%chance

3950

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1759

568

Cadillac F1 Team finishes where in 2026?

Oct 24, 10:10 AMDec 6, 11:59 PM

8378

OptionProbability

Below 6th

4th - 6th

Top 4

95

3

1

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?

Apr 17, 7:54 PMDec 14, 12:00 PM

72%chance

14346

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1091

949

Will any of FORD / GENERAL MOTORS / STELLANTIS declare any chapter of bankruptcy between now and 2027?

Jan 2, 1:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.37%chance

5104

OptionVotes

YES

NO

204

49

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