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Google Undercuts OpenAI With Sub-$1 Gemini Plan for Federal Agencies

1 year ago

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

56.6%chance

9413352

OptionVotes

YES

1142

876

Will J.D. Vance publicly criticize the decision to attack Iran before 2029?

Mar 5, 4:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

83.3%chance

269576

OptionVotes

YES

223

Which case will have its central holding overturned before the scheduled end of Donald Trump's term as president?

Nov 24, 4:33 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

268613

OptionProbability

Bowers v. Hardwick

Humphrey's Executor v. United States

Williams v. Florida (number of jurors)

Locke v. Davey

Carey v. Population Services International (Might be N/A'ed. See Below)

Employment Division v. Smith

Morrison v. Olson

The Insular Cases

Carey v. Population Services International (Holding regarding the restrictions on the distribution of contraceptives)

Hill v. Colorado

Arizona v. United States

Nixon v. General Services Administration

Plyler v. Doe

Carey v. Population Services International (Holding regarding the advertisement of contraceptives)

Brown v. Entertainment Merchants Association

New York Times v. Sullivan

Kennedy v. Louisiana

Mapp v. Ohio

Texas v. Johnson

Jacobson v. Massachusetts

The Slaughter House Cases

Bivens v. Six Unknown Named Agents

NLRB v. Noel Canning

United States v. Nixon

Trump v. Barbara

Griswold v. Connecticut

United States v. Wong Kim Ark (see note in comments)

Gideon v. Wainwright

Miranda v. Arizona

Reynolds v. Sims

Romer v. Evans

Ex parte Young

Lawrence v. Texas

Obergefell v. Hodges

Batson v. Kentucky

Loving v. Virginia

100

Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029?

Jan 25, 4:01 PMJan 20, 5:00 PM

7.69%chance

284165

OptionVotes

YES

3464

289

Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before Jan 20, 2031

May 14, 7:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.41%chance

14649

OptionVotes

YES

1478

677

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.91%chance

7487

OptionVotes

YES

1319

797

USA and Russia back to bilateral trading in 2026?

Jan 6, 11:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.48%chance

7231

OptionVotes

YES

163

Will Ulf Kristersson form a government as a result of the 2026 Elections?

Sep 28, 5:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.41%chance

9199

OptionVotes

YES

117

Will the far-right seize all American institutions before 2050?

Nov 3, 8:44 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

11%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

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Aug 23, 2025
Aug 23, 2025
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Google Undercuts OpenAI With Sub-$1 Gemini Plan for Federal Agencies
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Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Will J.D. Vance publicly criticize the decision to attack Iran before 2029?

Which case will have its central holding overturned before the scheduled end of Donald Trump's term as president?

Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029?

Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before Jan 20, 2031

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

USA and Russia back to bilateral trading in 2026?

Will Ulf Kristersson form a government as a result of the 2026 Elections?

Will the far-right seize all American institutions before 2050?

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