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Prediction markets for General Services Administration
Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?
Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
56.6%chance
9413352
OptionVotes
1142
876
Will J.D. Vance publicly criticize the decision to attack Iran before 2029?
Mar 5, 4:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
83.3%chance
269576
OptionVotes
223
45
Which case will have its central holding overturned before the scheduled end of Donald Trump's term as president?
Nov 24, 4:33 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
268613
OptionProbability
100
100
76
48
46
35
35
34
34
31
30
27
27
26
24
22
20
16
16
15
12
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
8
6
6
6
5
3
2
Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029?
Jan 25, 4:01 PMJan 20, 5:00 PM
7.69%chance
284165
OptionVotes
3464
289
Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before Jan 20, 2031
May 14, 7:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
31.41%chance
14649
OptionVotes
1478
677
Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?
Jul 22, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
66.91%chance
7487
OptionVotes
1319
797
OptionVotes
163
62
Will Ulf Kristersson form a government as a result of the 2026 Elections?
Sep 28, 5:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
42.41%chance
9199
OptionVotes
117
86
Will the far-right seize all American institutions before 2050?
Nov 3, 8:44 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM
11%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
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