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Prediction markets for Google Cloud
Will Anthropic models still be hosted on at least one of AWS, GCP, or Azure at expiry
Feb 28, 12:08 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM
97.94%chance
2915988
OptionVotes
7381
168
OptionProbability
77
53
51
47
46
45
36
32
28
24
24
24
24
21
19
17
17
11
OpenAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?
Nov 7, 7:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10.72%chance
192798
OptionVotes
2886
346
OptionProbability
23
20
19
17
17
1
1
1
1
Will Claude Fable 5 be API Pricing Only when public access returns?
Jun 14, 2:21 AMJan 1, 2:21 AM
15.39%chance
121728
OptionVotes
2345
426
OptionVotes
353
28
Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?
Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
38.35%chance
211414
OptionVotes
1268
789
If passed, will SB 1047 cover any Open Source model before 2029, not including those of Meta, OpenAI, Anthropic, etc?
Aug 29, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.35%chance
61165
OptionVotes
1098
911
OptionVotes
231
43
OptionVotes
133
75
OptionProbability
39
20
20
20




