Government Innovation News
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Prediction markets for Government Innovation
OptionProbability
79
73
67
65
65
59
50
50
45
45
35
Will major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2025?
Jul 11, 6:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
54.7%chance
2400
OptionVotes
2198
1820
Will major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2027?
Jun 30, 9:06 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
4240
OptionProbability
54
23
23
Will a Cold War like situation erupt between the US and China by 2034?
Feb 18, 1:27 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
79.06%chance
9211
OptionVotes
300
170
OptionProbability
86
78
77
70
60
50
50
50
43
8
Does being smart and innovative require that AIs can never truly, deeply conform to social rules? [In development still]
Dec 22, 8:25 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
51%chance
759
OptionVotes
156
143
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