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Prediction markets for Government Media Office

DOGE cuts $1T federal deficit by FY 2026?

Feb 4, 6:07 AMOct 1, 6:59 AM

4.32%chance

3710090

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4708

212

Was 9/11 an inside job? (2100)

Oct 19, 3:51 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

6.38%chance

252878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2121

853

Elon Musk financially backs campaign to remove Trump from office?

Jun 6, 3:13 PMDec 31, 4:06 PM

15.08%chance

171970

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2373

421

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.89%chance

311936

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1629

626

Will the arrested labour councillor, Ricky Jones, be sentenced for longer than a year?

Aug 8, 6:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.36%chance

4119

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

68

Will the UK revoke citizenship from more than 5,000 naturalised citizens in any single year by EOY2030?

Jul 22, 10:46 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

34.79%chance

465

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

73

Which of the following Red States will have at least 50,000 undocumented immigrants removed in FY 2025?

Jan 21, 2:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

325

OptionProbability

Texas

Arizona

Florida

Georgia

Ohio

Louisiana

72

63

63

50

50

37

Which of the following Blue States will have at least 50,000 undocumented immigrants removed in FY 2025?

Jan 20, 6:44 PMDec 31, 4:59 AM

15

OptionProbability

California

Maryland

Massachusetts

New Jersey

New York

Washington (state)

50

50

50

50

50

37

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