Government News
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Prediction markets for Government
Balance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?
Sep 19, 12:51 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
294415865
OptionProbability
52
37
10
0
0
0
0
0
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?
Dec 16, 2:35 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM
56.47%chance
161342158
OptionVotes
1140
878
Will Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk)
May 19, 12:55 PMDec 24, 4:59 AM
73.34%chance
25937075
OptionVotes
1680
551
[ACX 2026] How many days will the US government be shutdown in 2026?
Jan 6, 10:24 PMJan 7, 7:59 AM
3231668
OptionProbability
39
29
16
10
4
2
1
U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026
Feb 4, 2:18 AMNov 2, 12:00 AM
5.44%chance
3822185
OptionVotes
11398
3372
Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?
Nov 23, 11:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
21.32%chance
8821179
OptionVotes
13505
8680
Will the US Government lose its monopoly on violence within its borders before 2035?
Jun 16, 5:44 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
10.4%chance
7720018
OptionVotes
2519
1433
Will the UK government mention quantum computing in an official policy speech within the next month?
Jan 30, 7:09 AMMar 2, 7:04 AM
50.09%chance
362014
OptionVotes
1965
1625
Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?
Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
74.89%chance
311936
OptionVotes
1629
626
Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?
Apr 20, 6:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
52.62%chance
9702
OptionVotes
10538
9489
OptionProbability
141
90
ODM: Mutiny 4 Unity or Utility 4 futility.Will Sifuna & Babu Owino snatch the Orange from the Broad-based Government?
Jan 8, 11:12 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
00
OptionProbability
33
33
33