Government News
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Prediction markets for Government
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?
Dec 16, 2:35 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM
23.13%chance
212377727
OptionVotes
1824
549
Will Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk)
May 19, 12:55 PMDec 24, 4:59 AM
68.48%chance
26738505
OptionVotes
1502
624
Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?
Nov 23, 11:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
19.65%chance
9122191
OptionVotes
14513
8421
Will there be a government-backed manned mission to Mars that returns to Earth before the end of 2040?
Apr 20, 12:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
32%chance
8721359
OptionVotes
1417
1073
Will the US Government lose its monopoly on violence within its borders before 2035?
Jun 16, 5:44 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
10.63%chance
7720024
OptionVotes
2468
1439
Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
Aug 18, 12:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
76.35%chance
9219942
OptionVotes
1800
587
Will the US Government conduct military operations against 8 or more countries in 2026?
Jan 3, 7:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
64.95%chance
324193
OptionVotes
1361
735
Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?
Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
72.71%chance
332036
OptionVotes
1534
660
Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?
Apr 20, 6:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
52.62%chance
9702
OptionVotes
10538
9489
Will Nintendo take legal action against the US federal government?
Nov 5, 9:49 PMDec 31, 9:28 PM
27.98%chance
11330
OptionVotes
1092
703
OptionProbability
137
92
ODM: Mutiny 4 Unity or Utility 4 futility.Will Sifuna & Babu Owino snatch the Orange from the Broad-based Government?
Jan 8, 11:12 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
00
OptionProbability
33
33
33