Haveli News

Bill Chisholm Completes $6.1 Billion Record Purchase of Boston Celtics With Four New Investors, Pagliuca Retains Stake

7 months ago

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

Jul 21, 6:56 PMJul 19, 6:59 AM

94.88%chance

9679453832

OptionVotes

YES

24842

8440

Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton?

Nov 14, 9:56 PMJan 1, 9:54 PM

1.65%chance

533838788

OptionVotes

YES

8010

146

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

10%chance

821508077

OptionVotes

YES

57664

10568

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Jun 8, 6:16 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

10.42%chance

358292404

OptionVotes

YES

2529

667

Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

Jan 24, 12:51 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

25%chance

253103245

OptionVotes

YES

1788

550

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Jun 5, 3:33 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

32.8%chance

6122391

OptionVotes

YES

13939

7262

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?

Jan 31, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.69%chance

8616597

OptionVotes

YES

12850

7975

Will Sora have ads two years after launch?

Oct 1, 5:16 PMSep 30, 5:12 PM

58.04%chance

2211675

OptionVotes

YES

11762

8502

Will I have a baby with my decade-younger boyfriend by 2029?

Aug 22, 11:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

45.41%chance

377342

OptionVotes

YES

10935

9149

Will Charles Schwab customers have access to a prediction market on the 2028 US presidential election?

Jan 31, 9:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.1%chance

214408

OptionVotes

YES

10005

9976

Will Sam Altman become more cautious about AGI/ASI development after having a child?

Nov 9, 2:29 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM

46.58%chance

263857

OptionVotes

YES

11131

8894

Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion?

May 27, 7:34 PMMay 28, 7:19 PM

54.86%chance

252362

OptionVotes

YES

11023

9072

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Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
NBA
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Bill Chisholm Completes $6.1 Billion Record Purchase of Boston Celtics With Four New Investors, Pagliuca Retains Stake
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7 months ago

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Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton?

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?

Will Sora have ads two years after launch?

Will I have a baby with my decade-younger boyfriend by 2029?

Will Charles Schwab customers have access to a prediction market on the 2028 US presidential election?

Will Sam Altman become more cautious about AGI/ASI development after having a child?

Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion?

Latest stories

Join our channels

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Telegram