Haveli News

Bill Chisholm Completes $6.1 Billion Record Purchase of Boston Celtics With Four New Investors, Pagliuca Retains Stake

4 months ago

Bloomberg Odd Lots with Josh Wolfe: Will the field of Robotics have its "ChatGPT moment" by December 31, 2025?

Jan 7, 1:57 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

2.81%chance

1279603195

OptionVotes

YES

656217

28211

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

Jul 21, 6:56 PMJul 19, 6:59 AM

92.95%chance

9118702085

OptionVotes

YES

18514

8837

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

12.63%chance

802467730

OptionVotes

YES

48915

11661

Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton?

Nov 14, 9:56 PMJan 1, 9:54 PM

3%chance

506420895

OptionVotes

YES

5831

195

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Jun 8, 6:16 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

18.84%chance

316241647

OptionVotes

YES

1792

1079

Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

Jan 24, 12:51 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

28.54%chance

23797440

OptionVotes

YES

1640

605

By end of 2028, will PornHub have a category for AI-generated porn?

Apr 12, 1:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.25%chance

25746847

OptionVotes

YES

1079

634

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Jun 5, 3:33 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

31.25%chance

5818669

OptionVotes

YES

14461

7017

Will I have a baby with my decade-younger boyfriend by 2029?

Aug 22, 11:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

49.81%chance

346282

OptionVotes

YES

10008

9992

Will Sam Altman become more cautious about AGI/ASI development after having a child?

Nov 9, 2:29 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM

49.22%chance

243307

OptionVotes

YES

10581

9400

Will Sora have ads two years after launch?

Oct 1, 5:16 PMSep 30, 5:12 PM

52.21%chance

112398

OptionVotes

YES

10451

9568

Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion?

May 27, 7:34 PMMay 28, 7:19 PM

55.01%chance

221310

OptionVotes

YES

11058

9043

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Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
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Bill Chisholm Completes $6.1 Billion Record Purchase of Boston Celtics With Four New Investors, Pagliuca Retains Stake
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Bloomberg Odd Lots with Josh Wolfe: Will the field of Robotics have its "ChatGPT moment" by December 31, 2025?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton?

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

By end of 2028, will PornHub have a category for AI-generated porn?

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Will I have a baby with my decade-younger boyfriend by 2029?

Will Sam Altman become more cautious about AGI/ASI development after having a child?

Will Sora have ads two years after launch?

Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion?

Latest stories

Join our channels

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Telegram