Haveli News

Bill Chisholm Completes $6.1 Billion Record Purchase of Boston Celtics With Four New Investors, Pagliuca Retains Stake

1 year ago

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

Jul 21, 6:56 PMJul 19, 6:59 AM

96%chance

101110548402

OptionVotes

YES

31064

8145

Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton?

Nov 14, 9:56 PMJan 1, 9:54 PM

1%chance

554928283

OptionVotes

YES

10435

114

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

5.21%chance

858583544

OptionVotes

YES

89425

8110

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?

Jan 31, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.05%chance

13446712

OptionVotes

YES

13288

7276

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Jun 5, 3:33 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

31.26%chance

7024069

OptionVotes

YES

14460

7017

Will a sentient AI system have existed before 2040? [Resolves to 2100 expert consensus]

Mar 16, 7:08 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

58.44%chance

4819304

OptionVotes

YES

1146

860

Guillotines have a come back by 2030

Sep 27, 3:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.56%chance

2314901

OptionVotes

YES

24224

4128

Will Charles Schwab customers have access to a prediction market on the 2028 US presidential election?

Jan 31, 9:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.2%chance

2910792

OptionVotes

YES

16061

5454

Will I have a baby with my decade-younger boyfriend by 2029?

Aug 22, 11:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

45.52%chance

387378

OptionVotes

YES

10909

9171

Will The Boring Company's Vegas Loop have 50+ operational stations before 2030?

Oct 5, 10:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.23%chance

84255

OptionVotes

YES

13861

7215

Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion?

May 27, 7:34 PMMay 28, 7:19 PM

54.45%chance

282492

OptionVotes

YES

10933

9146

Will I still have a notable injury to my left knee after a year

Jun 12, 12:44 AMApr 25, 4:00 PM

43.59%chance

111577

OptionVotes

YES

11377

8790

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Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
NBA
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Bill Chisholm Completes $6.1 Billion Record Purchase of Boston Celtics With Four New Investors, Pagliuca Retains Stake
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1 year ago

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Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton?

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Will a sentient AI system have existed before 2040? [Resolves to 2100 expert consensus]

Guillotines have a come back by 2030

Will Charles Schwab customers have access to a prediction market on the 2028 US presidential election?

Will I have a baby with my decade-younger boyfriend by 2029?

Will The Boring Company's Vegas Loop have 50+ operational stations before 2030?

Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion?

Will I still have a notable injury to my left knee after a year

Latest stories

Join our channels

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