Haveli News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Haveli
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
Jul 21, 6:56 PMJul 19, 6:59 AM
95.72%chance
9869795402
OptionVotes
29222
8225
OptionVotes
8487
138
By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?
Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM
9.86%chance
831515860
OptionVotes
58238
10505
Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?
Jun 8, 6:16 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM
8.98%chance
389346234
OptionVotes
2834
634
By end of 2028, will PornHub have a category for AI-generated porn?
Apr 12, 1:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
81.73%chance
27255532
OptionVotes
1058
950
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
Jan 31, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
60%chance
10633080
OptionVotes
12752
7602
OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030
Jun 5, 3:33 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
33.7%chance
6122680
OptionVotes
13650
7407
OptionVotes
17888
5590
Will I have a baby with my decade-younger boyfriend by 2029?
Aug 22, 11:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
45.55%chance
377373
OptionVotes
10904
9175
Will Charles Schwab customers have access to a prediction market on the 2028 US presidential election?
Jan 31, 9:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
56.1%chance
224428
OptionVotes
10005
9976
Will Platreef Shaft #3 have achieved operational ore hoisting by
Apr 7, 1:26 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
63.14%chance
34092
OptionVotes
14090
6464
Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion?
May 27, 7:34 PMMay 28, 7:19 PM
54.4%chance
272482
OptionVotes
10923
9155