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Prediction markets for Hiring
Will this market get Calaveras AI a hire by EOY 2025?
Aug 12, 7:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.76%chance
3626945
OptionVotes
25035
3994
Will the killer of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson be revealed to have been hired by another party?
Dec 7, 7:56 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
1.06%chance
2212654
OptionVotes
9682
103
Was the January 29, 2025 mid-air collision caused by a DEI hire?
Jan 30, 1:02 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
17.89%chance
5510383
OptionVotes
1329
69
OptionVotes
2587
387
Will Manifold hire a professional market creator by the end of 2025?
Sep 1, 1:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
4.61%chance
193788
OptionVotes
4481
547
Will Salesforce stop hiring software engineers in 2025?
Jan 10, 4:27 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
10.84%chance
163618
OptionVotes
2867
349
Will Amazon fully acquire, acqui‑hire, or own ≥ 50 % of Anthropic before 2029
Jun 10, 10:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
16.55%chance
141315
OptionVotes
2245
445
Will any "DEI hire" pilot on a US airline make a mistake that results in at least one other person's death before 2028?
Jan 15, 7:58 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
29.5%chance
13403
OptionVotes
171
102
Will OpenAI hire an AI welfare researcher before the end of 2025?
Feb 6, 9:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
26.05%chance
12262
OptionVotes
168
59
OptionVotes
150
149
OptionVotes
115
71
Will Lada Nuzhna value her time highly enough to hire a personal assistant by 2027?
Sep 11, 5:06 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
50
50