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Prediction markets for Hong Kong
These countries do not allow visitors with a felony conviction. Which will Trump travel to during his current term?
Feb 24, 8:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
6541272
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
99
99
97
59
21
11
9
9
9
9
8
8
7
7
6
6
6
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Hong Kong to change its HK$ peg away from USD by end of 2026?
Aug 3, 7:21 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
5.65%chance
448594
OptionVotes
8365
590
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
65
61
55
50
50
50
12
5
OptionProbability
24
24
7
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
OptionVotes
738
77
OptionProbability
27
18
16
13
9
8
4
3
1
Will any of the 'Hong Kong Eight' appear in police custody in Hong Kong before 2028?
Jul 11, 9:50 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
32.63%chance
4144
OptionVotes
122
99
OptionVotes
107
104
OptionVotes
93
52
OptionVotes
94
83
Will Taylor Swift perform a concert in Hong Kong before 2028?
Feb 15, 1:23 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
27.94%chance
340
OptionVotes
130
66
What will the winning margin be in the Australia-Hong Kong game at the Men's Rugby World Cup?
Feb 3, 7:14 AMNov 13, 11:59 PM
110
OptionProbability
17
17
17
17
17
14