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Prediction markets for Hong Kong
These countries do not allow visitors with a felony conviction. Which will Trump travel to during his current term?
Feb 24, 8:00 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM
469826
OptionProbability
100
100
98
91
78
64
61
56
54
48
45
44
40
38
38
36
33
30
29
28
25
24
22
21
21
20
20
17
17
16
15
15
14
13
13
13
8
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
99
99
92
79
62
59
46
45
44
44
40
36
34
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Hong Kong to change its HK$ peg away from USD by end of 2026?
Aug 3, 7:21 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
33.82%chance
321606
OptionVotes
2623
1579
Will Singapore's 2024 birth rate, as a percentage of Hong Kong's 2024 birth rate, increase by at least 3% versus the same comparison in 2023?
Feb 15, 1:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
36.61%chance
23954
OptionVotes
1426
613
OptionVotes
738
77
OptionProbability
33
23
15
10
9
5
4
1
Will Hong Kong-appointed liquidator of Evergrande be recognized by a mainland Chinese court before the end of 2025?
Jan 29, 8:03 AMDec 31, 2:59 PM
56.58%chance
10166
OptionVotes
513
490
Will any of the 'Hong Kong Eight' appear in police custody in Hong Kong before 2028?
Jul 11, 9:50 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
32.63%chance
4144
OptionVotes
122
99
OptionVotes
107
104
Will Hong Kong become a province of the PRC before 2047?
Nov 13, 3:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
43.75%chance
553
OptionVotes
79
62
OptionVotes
94
83
Will Taylor Swift perform a concert in Hong Kong before 2028?
Feb 15, 1:23 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
27.94%chance
340
OptionVotes
130
66
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