House of Commons News

YES

YES

electing a PM who contemporaneously describes himself as a socialist

Coronation of King William

Any Overseas Territory or Crown Dependency no longer under British sovereignty (de jure, even if temporarily)

A major financial crisis (40% drawdown of FTSE 100)

a year where population declines by 1%

Rejoining the European Customs Union

A year with inflation >10%

A Prime Minister not from the Conservative or Labour parties

The House of Lords is either abolished or democratically elected

A game of thrones sequel (not a prequel)

A ≤500-member House of Commons is elected (incl. Sinn Féin)

Republic

Winning the FIFA world cup

Any part of the territory of the UK proper as of 2024 ceases to be under British sovereignty

UK invades a foreign country with >10k ground troops

rejoining the European Union

House of Commons elections use a different voting method than "name one and shut up"

joining the Euro

A year with higher GDP (PPP) per capita than Canada

Two new monarchs after Charles III

Has an NFL franchise

YES

YES

YES

NO

> 0 MPs in the House of Commons.

polled above 20% in a BPC-member poll in the past year.

won >0 General Elections in the past decade.

registered with the Electoral Commission.

more MPs in Wales than any other party (N/A if Wales is independent)

polled above 30% in a BPC-member poll in the past year.

the most MPs in the House of Commons.

split into multiple electorally-successful parties since 2024.

polled above 40% in a BPC-member poll in the past year.

the 2nd most MPs in the House of Commons.

won the previous London Mayoral election

more MPs in Scotland than any other party (N/A if Scotland is independent)

YES

> 0 MPs in the House of Commons.

registered with the Electoral Commission.

polled above 20% in a BPC-member poll in the past year.

won >0 General Elections in the past decade.

polled above 30% in a BPC-member poll in the past year.

the most MPs in the House of Commons.

won the previous London Mayoral election

polled above 40% in a BPC-member poll in the past year.

the 2nd most MPs in the House of Commons.

YES

YES