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Prediction markets for House Republicans
Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?
Jun 8, 6:16 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM
10.9%chance
519444891
OptionVotes
13153
9447
Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
Jun 12, 12:29 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM
11.6%chance
7359063
OptionVotes
2762
362
Will Republicans maintain a majority in the House of Representatives throughout the 119th Congress?
Nov 14, 12:17 AMJan 3, 4:59 PM
97.3%chance
168417
OptionVotes
6004
167
OptionProbability
93
67
35
20
How many House seats will the Republicans flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
Jan 24, 9:14 PMNov 3, 4:59 AM
19%chance
62385
OptionVotes
1044
785
Will Republicans hold the House at any point between 2028 and 2035?
Jul 23, 2:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
82.02%chance
9768
OptionVotes
214
47
Will Non-Republicans hold at least 53% of House seats on any day by July 27, 2027? (7/27/27)
Jul 28, 2:02 PMJul 26, 11:59 PM
67.62%chance
6547
OptionVotes
1445
692
Will Mike Johnson have a full term as Speaker of the House before another Republican becomes Speaker?
Nov 5, 7:46 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
70.82%chance
18377
OptionVotes
110
44
Will there be over 215 Republican seats after the midterm elections in the House of Representatives?
May 8, 6:35 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM
30.54%chance
781
OptionVotes
151
66
Will Non-Republicans hold at least 55.2% of House seats on any day by August 8, 2027? (8/8/27)
Aug 3, 9:53 PMAug 7, 11:59 PM
45.78%chance
662
OptionVotes
109
92
How many congressmen in the House will be members of the Republican Governance Group caucus after the 2026 midterms?
Jul 3, 8:02 AMNov 3, 12:00 AM
140
OptionProbability
66
50
41
34
28
Will Non-Republicans hold at least 54.6% of House seats on any day by August 4, 2027? (8/4/27)
Aug 2, 10:53 AMAug 3, 11:59 PM
43.88%chance
640
OptionVotes
113
88
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