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Will Huawei ship at least one million 910C chips in 2026?
Dec 12, 3:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
40.96%chance
4623413
OptionVotes
12005
8330
OptionProbability
40
25
15
13
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Which Chinese tech companies announce a formal AI partnership with a Russian entity before 2027?
Oct 29, 2:22 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
73325
OptionProbability
17
17
17
12
10
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
Which company will facilitate the greatest number of autonomous vehicle rides in 2030?
Nov 28, 5:56 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM
392071
OptionProbability
41
29
27
3
0
0
0
OptionProbability
21
20
19
18
18
1
1
1
0
0
Will Russia announce completion of an AI data center with >10,000 AI accelerators (GPUs/TPUs) before 2027?
Oct 29, 1:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
11.08%chance
122005
OptionVotes
2833
353
3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
87.75%chance
171910
OptionVotes
2681
374
Will China deploy domestic EUV sub-7nm chips for major tech by EOY 2026?
Dec 18, 6:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
7%chance
10483
OptionVotes
142
96
By EOY 2030, what will happen with Google/UCSD’s retired-phone low-carbon computing project?
Jun 13, 3:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3255
OptionProbability
63
53
50
50
50
50
47
45
31
30
OptionVotes
1115
1009
Number of H100 equivalent chips (by Flops) Huawei will make in year 2026
May 2, 4:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
1200
OptionProbability
86
2
2
2
2
2
2
Will any China-domestic AI chip reach ≥80% of NVIDIA H100 perf on a public benchmark before 2026-12-31?
May 4, 8:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
34.89%chance
7161
OptionVotes
107
86
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