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Prediction markets for Hyperion
Will DeepMind researchers win a Fields Medal before 2030?
Jan 16, 3:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
1.43%chance
3711745
OptionVotes
8402
653
OptionProbability
426
193
Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?
Mar 20, 12:36 AMSep 19, 11:00 PM
52.36%chance
946319
OptionVotes
1154
713
OptionProbability
763
517
Which SciFi/Fantasy books will be adapted into movies or TV series by the end of the 2020s?
Jan 6, 3:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
251398
OptionProbability
99
76
74
65
64
62
61
50
50
50
50
46
43
41
41
41
37
36
35
34
30
30
30
28
28
27
25
25
22
21
21
20
16
15
13
10
10
4
OptionProbability
99
85
75
66
65
64
64
61
61
57
50
50
43
41
19
Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?
Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
38.22%chance
14858
OptionVotes
1271
787
Will Hyperion still be the world's tallest known tree at the beginning of 2030?
Feb 7, 7:24 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
65.89%chance
544
OptionVotes
180
130
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