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Prediction markets for Hyperion
Will DeepMind researchers win a Fields Medal before 2030?
Jan 16, 3:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
1.43%chance
3711745
OptionVotes
8402
653
OptionProbability
426
193
Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?
Mar 20, 12:36 AMSep 19, 11:00 PM
52.42%chance
936218
OptionVotes
1153
714
OptionProbability
763
517
Which SciFi/Fantasy books will be adapted into movies or TV series by the end of the 2020s?
Jan 6, 3:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
231270
OptionProbability
99
90
74
64
62
61
50
50
50
50
50
46
46
44
43
41
41
41
39
36
34
30
30
30
28
27
25
25
22
21
20
16
15
13
10
10
4
OptionProbability
99
85
75
66
65
64
64
61
57
56
50
50
43
41
19
Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?
Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
38.22%chance
14858
OptionVotes
1271
787
Will Hyperion still be the world's tallest known tree at the beginning of 2030?
Feb 7, 7:24 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
65.89%chance
544
OptionVotes
180
130
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