IEA News

8 months ago

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Apr 21, 8:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

41.87%chance

322116454

OptionVotes

YES

1186

815

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2027?

Apr 8, 5:39 PMApr 15, 9:59 PM

41.43%chance

403185

OptionVotes

YES

1010

955

Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026?

Mar 2, 6:09 PMSep 29, 6:08 PM

62.64%chance

32803

OptionVotes

YES

1295

772

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?

Apr 1, 3:41 PMApr 8, 9:59 PM

38%chance

282355

OptionVotes

YES

1024

976

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2028?

Apr 17, 3:54 PMFeb 24, 9:59 PM

68.2%chance

231639

OptionVotes

YES

1454

690

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

Mar 24, 5:16 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM

56.41%chance

181372

OptionVotes

YES

1318

626

China CO2 emissions in 2026 less than in 2025?

Jul 8, 9:13 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

82.14%chance

17852

OptionVotes

YES

214

[Metaculus] Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?

Nov 3, 5:26 PMJan 2, 5:00 PM

21.94%chance

14672

OptionVotes

YES

1338

873

Will Crude oil supply impact due to Persian Gulf military conflict exceed 20 million barrels/day on May 31, 2026?

Mar 4, 12:04 PMMay 31, 12:04 PM

5%chance

9521

OptionVotes

YES

436

Will Crude oil supply impact due to Persian Gulf military conflict exceed 10 million barrels/day on May 31, 2026?

Mar 4, 12:04 PMMay 31, 12:04 PM

47.14%chance

9345

OptionVotes

YES

106

Will the share of population exposed to high levels of air pollution fall below 15% by 2030?

Mar 11, 8:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.8%chance

5252

OptionVotes

YES

249

137

100GW of hydrogen electrolyzer capacity by 2033?

Dec 13, 4:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.56%chance

256

OptionVotes

YES

138

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Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2027?

Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026?

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2028?

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

China CO2 emissions in 2026 less than in 2025?

[Metaculus] Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?

Will Crude oil supply impact due to Persian Gulf military conflict exceed 20 million barrels/day on May 31, 2026?

Will Crude oil supply impact due to Persian Gulf military conflict exceed 10 million barrels/day on May 31, 2026?

Will the share of population exposed to high levels of air pollution fall below 15% by 2030?

100GW of hydrogen electrolyzer capacity by 2033?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram