IEA News

1 year ago

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Apr 21, 8:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

52%chance

326121196

OptionVotes

YES

1004

972

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?

Apr 1, 3:41 PMApr 8, 9:59 PM

42.56%chance

405443

OptionVotes

YES

1051

912

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2027?

Apr 8, 5:39 PMApr 15, 9:59 PM

35.13%chance

423553

OptionVotes

YES

1121

908

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2028?

Apr 17, 3:54 PMFeb 24, 9:59 PM

68.12%chance

241866

OptionVotes

YES

1451

691

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

Mar 24, 5:16 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM

39.81%chance

241737

OptionVotes

YES

1021

948

[Metaculus] Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?

Nov 3, 5:26 PMJan 2, 5:00 PM

15.09%chance

161177

OptionVotes

YES

1843

760

Will U.S. production of battery-grade lithium exceed 10% of global supply by the end of 2030?

Dec 10, 1:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.2%chance

181118

OptionVotes

YES

111

China CO2 emissions in 2026 less than in 2025?

Jul 8, 9:13 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

82.12%chance

19884

OptionVotes

YES

214

Will the share of population exposed to high levels of air pollution fall below 15% by 2030?

Mar 11, 8:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.8%chance

5252

OptionVotes

YES

249

137

Will global carbon emissions from all sources peak before 2030?

Mar 23, 11:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76.9%chance

8201

OptionVotes

YES

182

100GW of hydrogen electrolyzer capacity by 2033?

Dec 13, 4:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.32%chance

386

OptionVotes

YES

103

Will a breakthrough in macro-scale energy production occur by EOY 2030 ?

Jun 9, 4:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

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Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2027?

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2028?

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

[Metaculus] Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?

Will U.S. production of battery-grade lithium exceed 10% of global supply by the end of 2030?

China CO2 emissions in 2026 less than in 2025?

Will the share of population exposed to high levels of air pollution fall below 15% by 2030?

Will global carbon emissions from all sources peak before 2030?

100GW of hydrogen electrolyzer capacity by 2033?

Will a breakthrough in macro-scale energy production occur by EOY 2030 ?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram