IEA News

1 year ago

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Apr 21, 8:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

47.23%chance

324117679

OptionVotes

YES

1067

910

Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026?

Mar 2, 6:09 PMSep 29, 6:08 PM

92.5%chance

45018

OptionVotes

YES

3513

285

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?

Apr 1, 3:41 PMApr 8, 9:59 PM

29.97%chance

384964

OptionVotes

YES

1274

848

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2027?

Apr 8, 5:39 PMApr 15, 9:59 PM

37.45%chance

423353

OptionVotes

YES

1056

945

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2028?

Apr 17, 3:54 PMFeb 24, 9:59 PM

68.12%chance

241866

OptionVotes

YES

1451

691

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

Mar 24, 5:16 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM

52.02%chance

231487

OptionVotes

YES

1232

698

[Metaculus] Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?

Nov 3, 5:26 PMJan 2, 5:00 PM

15.09%chance

161177

OptionVotes

YES

1843

760

Will U.S. production of battery-grade lithium exceed 10% of global supply by the end of 2030?

Dec 10, 1:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.2%chance

181118

OptionVotes

YES

111

China CO2 emissions in 2026 less than in 2025?

Jul 8, 9:13 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

82.12%chance

19884

OptionVotes

YES

214

Will the share of population exposed to high levels of air pollution fall below 15% by 2030?

Mar 11, 8:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.8%chance

5252

OptionVotes

YES

249

137

Will global carbon emissions from all sources peak before 2030?

Mar 23, 11:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67%chance

7161

OptionVotes

YES

142

100GW of hydrogen electrolyzer capacity by 2033?

Dec 13, 4:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.56%chance

256

OptionVotes

YES

138

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Prediction markets for IEA

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026?

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2027?

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2028?

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

[Metaculus] Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?

Will U.S. production of battery-grade lithium exceed 10% of global supply by the end of 2030?

China CO2 emissions in 2026 less than in 2025?

Will the share of population exposed to high levels of air pollution fall below 15% by 2030?

Will global carbon emissions from all sources peak before 2030?

100GW of hydrogen electrolyzer capacity by 2033?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram