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Prediction markets for IGN
Will a sitting US President refuse to follow or ignore a Supreme Court ruling by 2032?
Feb 22, 3:54 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
46.49%chance
8816876
OptionVotes
1170
673
Will intersections where self-driving cars can ignore traffic signals exist in the US by end of 2030?
Jun 29, 6:09 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
11.97%chance
231149
OptionVotes
1747
843
OptionProbability
27
25
23
22
2
1
Will Donald Trump carry out an invasion of Greenland before 2028?
Feb 26, 7:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
13.98%chance
13287
OptionVotes
248
40
Will Ruja Ignatova be found (dead or alive) before 2027-10-25?
Oct 20, 8:13 PMOct 25, 9:59 PM
20.49%chance
7283
OptionVotes
353
93
OptionProbability
41
16
6
5
5
5
5
4
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
If the sixth installment of the Elder Scrolls series releases before 2040, will it receive a 10 by IGN?
Jan 30, 8:39 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
20.31%chance
250
OptionVotes
99
25
Will "Don’t ignore bad vibes you get from people" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Jan 20, 4:21 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
15%chance
329
OptionVotes
101
93
Could the Trinity test ignite the atmosphere if the atmosphere were made of something else?
Aug 6, 5:25 PMAug 7, 6:59 AM
00