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NASA and IBM Launch Surya AI Model With 16% More Accurate Solar Storm Forecasts and Two-Hour Advance Warning

8 months ago

Will prominent rationalists judge that Trump's second term was the most positively impactful term in the last 68 years?

Nov 9, 7:16 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

3.5%chance

128483207

OptionVotes

YES

5251

190

Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2030?

Oct 29, 12:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

96.04%chance

10423559

OptionVotes

YES

10119

734

Will NASA assign asteroid YR4 an impact probability of ≥4.0% before June 2029?

Feb 8, 8:14 PMJun 1, 10:59 PM

2.48%chance

5117864

OptionVotes

YES

6267

160

Will Y2K38 cause a significant impact in the United States?

Jan 29, 3:36 AMFeb 1, 8:00 AM

12.38%chance

15111275

OptionVotes

YES

2258

1396

Will I find AI to negatively impact my job opportunities as a coder by 2032?

Dec 26, 10:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

90.82%chance

774137

OptionVotes

YES

3307

445

By 2030, will LLMs have a bigger impact on the economy than GLP-1 receptor agents?

Oct 3, 12:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

90.36%chance

603396

OptionVotes

YES

1431

907

Do high levels of carbon dioxide have significant negative impacts on cognition?

Oct 21, 12:39 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

88.81%chance

351744

OptionVotes

YES

1748

854

Will AI have a significant impact on a national (general) election in an OECD country by 01-01-2028?

Aug 19, 10:41 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

82.26%chance

241255

OptionVotes

YES

1445

838

Will 25% of US construction workers have their jobs negatively impacted by AI by 2030?

Mar 24, 12:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

24890

OptionVotes

YES

1323

835

Will an AI generated video have significant impact on US politics before 2029?

Jan 19, 1:54 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

75.13%chance

15350

OptionVotes

YES

1071

955

By 2030, will the academic community lean in favour of insecticide-treated bed nets having net-positive overall impact?

Jan 21, 6:47 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

88.53%chance

14263

OptionVotes

YES

1170

952

Will "Impact, agency, and taste" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 19, 9:19 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

18.85%chance

251

OptionVotes

YES

1051

737

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Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Space
AI Modeling
Science
NASA and IBM Launch Surya AI Model With 16% More Accurate Solar Storm Forecasts and Two-Hour Advance Warning
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8 months ago

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Will prominent rationalists judge that Trump's second term was the most positively impactful term in the last 68 years?

Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2030?

Will NASA assign asteroid YR4 an impact probability of ≥4.0% before June 2029?

Will Y2K38 cause a significant impact in the United States?

Will I find AI to negatively impact my job opportunities as a coder by 2032?

By 2030, will LLMs have a bigger impact on the economy than GLP-1 receptor agents?

Do high levels of carbon dioxide have significant negative impacts on cognition?

Will AI have a significant impact on a national (general) election in an OECD country by 01-01-2028?

Will 25% of US construction workers have their jobs negatively impacted by AI by 2030?

Will an AI generated video have significant impact on US politics before 2029?

By 2030, will the academic community lean in favour of insecticide-treated bed nets having net-positive overall impact?

Will "Impact, agency, and taste" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Latest stories

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