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Arkham Says UAE Holds About $700 Million in Bitcoin Via Citadel Mining
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10 months ago
Prediction markets for in
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Feb 20, 10:47 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
31.58%chance
448712289753
OptionVotes
25594
18056
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
Feb 20, 10:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
87.89%chance
26872439947
OptionVotes
14383
1362
OptionProbability
25
15
10
10
7
5
5
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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Will Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [High Liquidity]
Nov 18, 4:29 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM
3.42%chance
4751495300
OptionVotes
531929
18825
Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?
Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.82%chance
540866697
OptionVotes
30327
3302
By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
39.2%chance
619656382
OptionVotes
5632
4083
Will the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?
Mar 13, 3:40 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
46%chance
346291594
OptionVotes
5852
4245
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?
Jan 28, 4:34 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
62.87%chance
354261898
OptionVotes
2038
1317
OptionProbability
60
39
1
EOY 2030, how difficult will it be to get gender affirming care (puberty blockers, HRT) for a minor in California?
Jan 22, 7:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
47106751
OptionProbability
39
29
23
9
🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027
Sep 24, 9:28 AMOct 3, 2:59 PM
52.56%chance
7761833
OptionVotes
53508
47064
OptionVotes
1444
693
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- Arkham Says UAE Holds About $700 Million in Bitcoin Via Citadel MiningAuthors1410 months ago