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Prediction markets for Independent
Will Dr. Beatriz Villarroel’s “aligned transients” be independently replicated?
Aug 23, 3:36 AMJan 1, 3:31 AM
10.04%chance
1723720
OptionVotes
29965
3343
Will Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030?
Jan 30, 9:55 PMJan 2, 12:59 PM
19.6%chance
9014761
OptionVotes
2212
1939
OpenAI abandon answer independence on ads before 2028?
Feb 11, 6:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33.58%chance
13613104
OptionVotes
1406
711
OptionVotes
1259
735
Will pro-independence parties win a majority of seats at the 2026 Welsh election?
Feb 5, 7:02 AMMay 7, 11:59 PM
34.33%chance
102297
OptionVotes
1383
723
Will the US judiciary remain independent by the end of Trump's term?
Mar 2, 8:39 AMJan 21, 10:59 PM
53.46%chance
181320
OptionVotes
1072
933
Will the United States exist as a stable, independent democracy by 2100?
Dec 22, 12:25 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
51.37%chance
211178
OptionVotes
1184
741
Is the 20th Busy Beaver number independent of set theory?
Jan 31, 5:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
47.02%chance
18587
OptionVotes
1179
734
OptionVotes
1168
856
OptionVotes
1188
841
Will there be verified U.S. federal government actions intended to influence an Alberta independence referendum?
Jan 30, 1:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
44.85%chance
4120
OptionVotes
1109
902
Will the USA pass a content filtering law covering 3D-printed or other independently manufactured guns?
Jan 22, 2:53 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM
47.51%chance
251
OptionVotes
1051
951