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Prediction markets for Independent
Will Dr. Beatriz Villarroel’s “aligned transients” be independently replicated?
Aug 23, 3:36 AMJan 1, 3:31 AM
8.47%chance
1949448
OptionVotes
32903
3045
Will Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030?
Jan 30, 9:55 PMJan 2, 12:59 PM
19%chance
9214966
OptionVotes
2280
1923
OpenAI abandon answer independence on ads before 2028?
Feb 11, 6:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.75%chance
13713512
OptionVotes
1433
698
Will Quebec hold a referendum on independence from Canada before the end of 2029?
Apr 5, 5:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10.02%chance
6713460
OptionVotes
11406
5078
OptionVotes
1420
636
OptionVotes
1750
572
Will a video on Youtube break the current record for most viewed independent animation pilot before Jan 1st 2027?
Dec 1, 9:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
12.82%chance
201726
OptionVotes
2495
231
Will the US judiciary remain independent by the end of Trump's term?
Mar 2, 8:39 AMJan 21, 10:59 PM
53.46%chance
181320
OptionVotes
1072
933
Will the United States exist as a stable, independent democracy by 2100?
Dec 22, 12:25 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
51.37%chance
211178
OptionVotes
1184
741
Is the 20th Busy Beaver number independent of set theory?
Jan 31, 5:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
49.07%chance
19622
OptionVotes
1214
696
Will there be verified U.S. federal government actions intended to influence an Alberta independence referendum?
Jan 30, 1:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
49.54%chance
11450
OptionVotes
1009
991
Will the USA pass a content filtering law covering 3D-printed or other independently manufactured guns?
Jan 22, 2:53 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM
47.51%chance
251
OptionVotes
1051
951