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Prediction markets for Institute

If Trump is elected, will the shutdown of the US AI Safety Institute be announced in 2025?

Apr 22, 1:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.79%chance

387401

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11726

7606

Is Richard Hanania correct that major institutions are anti-white and anti-male. There is Gay propaganda in schools etc.

Apr 4, 11:03 PMJul 25, 7:24 AM

24.69%chance

294632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

998

971

Will China institute a naval blockade of Taiwan before the end of 2025?

Jan 7, 9:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.68%chance

433925

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1681

852

Will the Nati'l Institute on Alcohol Abuse & Alcoholism & CDC introduce stricter alcohol consumption guidelines by 2025?

Aug 26, 3:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.16%chance

372971

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2019

599

Will there be an "EA university" or similar institution by 31 December 2027?

Aug 23, 4:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

14.9%chance

512833

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2059

657

If Trump wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?

Jun 30, 7:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25.6%chance

141992

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2498

936

Will the US institute a national ban on abortion anytime before 2035?

May 8, 11:44 PMMay 16, 3:59 AM

17.55%chance

201664

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1055

632

Will the United States re-institute the draft by 2030? 🪖🇺🇸

Mar 4, 9:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.2%chance

141344

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1505

899

Will the Machine Intelligence Research Institute exist in 2030?

Apr 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81.86%chance

161059

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1454

850

Will major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2025?

Jul 11, 6:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

54.7%chance

2400

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2198

1820

Will New Zealand Crown Research Institutes be centralised by 2026?

Jan 7, 11:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

40.41%chance

1359

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1214

824

Wuhan Institute of Virology defector before 2040

May 16, 12:04 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

42.71%chance

20308

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1029

953

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