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Prediction markets for Institute
Will the Irkutsk Anti-Plague institute incident turn into an outbreak?
Oct 4, 1:24 PMJan 1, 1:16 PM
3.56%chance
3511041
OptionVotes
5208
192
Real U.S. spending on math R&D at higher-education institutions decrease by at least 25% by EOY 2028
Oct 3, 3:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19.15%chance
510552
OptionVotes
20550
4866
Is Richard Hanania correct that major institutions are anti-white and anti-male. There is Gay propaganda in schools etc.
Apr 4, 11:03 PMJul 25, 7:24 AM
21.67%chance
304708
OptionVotes
1134
930
Will New Zealand Crown Research Institutes be centralised by 2026?
Jan 7, 11:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM
5.98%chance
33109
OptionVotes
3964
252
Will there be an "EA university" or similar institution by 31 December 2027?
Aug 23, 4:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
14.42%chance
532884
OptionVotes
2110
648
Will Congress ban institutional investors from buying single family homes by 2027
Jan 7, 9:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.89%chance
92518
OptionVotes
3201
312
Will the US institute a national ban on abortion anytime before 2035?
May 8, 11:44 PMMay 16, 3:59 AM
11.35%chance
212024
OptionVotes
996
992
Will the Clay Mathematics Institute formally recognize OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution as correct before 2029?
Sep 15, 8:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
75.14%chance
211953
OptionVotes
1738
575
Will the United States re-institute the draft by 2030? 🪖🇺🇸
Mar 4, 9:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
9.52%chance
181854
OptionVotes
990
942
Will the Machine Intelligence Research Institute exist in 2030?
Apr 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
81.86%chance
161059
OptionVotes
1454
850
[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will major institutions call human labor “uncompetitive” vs AI in some domain by end of 2040?
Dec 4, 3:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
73.61%chance
5770
OptionVotes
1670
599
OptionVotes
1100
1011