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Interior News

    Prediction markets for Interior

    OptionProbability

    Attorney General: Pam Bondi

    Secretary of Labor: Lori Chavez-DeRemer

    Secretary of Homeland Security: Kristi Noem

    Director of National Intelligence: Tulsi Gabbard

    Chief of Staff: Susie Wiles

    Secretary of Defense: Pete Hegseth

    Federal Bureau of Investigation Director: Kash Patel

    Secretary of Commerce: Howard Lutnick

    Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency: Lee Zeldin

    Secretary of State: Marco Rubio

    Secretary of Health and Human Services: Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

    Secretary of Transportation: Sean Duffy

    Director of Central Intelligence Agency: John Ratcliffe

    Secretary of the Treasury: Scott Bassent

    Administrator of the Small Business Administration: Kelly Lorffler

    Secretary of Agriculture: Brooke Rollins

    United States Trade Representative: James Greer

    Ambassador to the United Nations: Mike Waltz

    Director of the Office of Management and Budget: Russ Vought

    Secretary of Housing and Urban Development: Scott Turner

    Secretary of Energy: Chris Wright

    Secretary of Veteran Affairs: Doug Collins

    Secretary of the Interior: Doug Burgum

    Secretary of Education: Linda McMahon

    President: Donald Trump

    Vice President: JD Vance

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    86

    84

    62

    58

    53

    48

    35

    34

    29

    29

    27

    27

    27

    24

    22

    22

    22

    21

    16

    10

    4

    OptionProbability

    An executive order is issued and upheld requiring all federal agencies to use the new name?

    It changes on Google Maps?

    The Interior Secretary orders the name change?

    NOAA officially adopts the new name in all nautical charts and documentation?

    Louisiana changes the name on official state documents and maps?

    USGS updates Geographic Names Information System, or G.N.I.S., to reflect the name change?

    Florida changes name on official documents and maps

    Texas changes the name on official state documents and maps?

    The Department of Defense mandates the use of the new name in all military operations and documents?

    Alabama changes name on official documents and maps?

    A joint resolution of Congress (not from MTG) approves the name change?

    The President requires states to change references to the name in order receive federal aid?

    Legislation drafted by Marjorie Taylor Greene is passed by Congress and signed by the President?

    The Foreign Names Committee of the US Bureau of Geographic Names approves a change to the official name?

    The International Hydrographic Organization approves the change?

    Mexico agrees to the name change through diplomatic channels?

    A treaty between the U.S., Mexico, and Cuba establishes the new name?

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    80

    65

    59

    21

    19

    17

    9

    7

    3

    1

    OptionProbability

    JD Vance (Vice President)

    Doug Burgum (Secretary of Interior)

    John Ratcliffe (CIA Director)

    Jamison Greer (United States Trade Representative)

    Linda McMahon (Secretary of Education)

    Doug Collins (Secretary of Veterans Affairs)

    Chris Wright (Secretary of Energy)

    Sean Duffy (Secretary of Transportation)

    Scott Turner (Secretary of Housing and Urban Development)

    Marco Rubio (Secretary of State)

    Lee Zeldin (Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency)

    Brooke Rollins (Secretary of Agriculture)

    Russell Vought (Director of the Office of Management and Budget)

    Pete Hegseth (Secretary of Defense)

    Kelly Loeffler (Administrator of the Small Business Administration)

    Howard Lutnick (Secretary of Commerce)

    John Ratcliffe (Director of the Central Intelligence Agency)

    Scott Bessent (Secretary of Treasury)

    Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services)

    Susie Wiles (Chief of Staff)

    Pam Bondi (Attorney General)

    Kristi Noem (Secretary of Homeland Security)

    Lori Chavez-DeRemer (Secretary of Labor)

    Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)

    99

    93

    92

    92

    91

    91

    90

    87

    84

    82

    82

    78

    60

    59

    59

    54

    50

    45

    31

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste?

    Mar 23, 11:51 AMApr 24, 11:59 PM
    6.54%chance
    183382

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2924

    61

    Will you be able to float globs of ferrofluid in your room by 2030?

    Jul 28, 5:18 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
    18.56%chance
    18659

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1482

    836

    OptionProbability

    Michalis Giorgallas (Defense)

    Constantinos Kombos (Foreign Affairs)

    Makis Keravnos (Finance)

    Konstantinos Ioannou (Interior)

    Athina Michaelidou (Education, sport and youth)

    Alexis Vafeades (Transport, communications and works)

    Giorgos Papanastasiou (Energy, commerce and industry)

    Petros Xenophontos (Agriculture, rural development and environment)

    Yiannis Panayiotou (Labour and social insurance)

    Anna Koukkides-Prokopiou (Justice and public order)

    Popi Kanari (Health)

    94

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    10051

    9986

    Density of hyperbolicity for the Mandelbrot set

    Oct 15, 3:21 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    93.3%chance
    5167

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    295

    91

    OptionProbability

    Pete Hegseth - Secretary of War

    Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. - Secretary of Health and Human Services

    Marco Rubio - Secretary of State

    Kelly Loeffler - Administrator of the Small Business Administration

    Scott Bessent - Secretary of the Treasury

    Todd Blanche - Attorney General

    Doug Burgum - Secretary of the Interior

    Jay Clayton - Director of National Intelligence

    Doug Collins - Secretary of Veterans Affairs

    Jamieson Greer - United States Trade Representative

    Brooke Rollins - Secretary of Agriculture

    Keith Sonderling - Secretary of Labor

    Sean Duffy - Secretary of Transportation

    Howard Lutnick - Secretary of Commerce

    Linda McMahon - Secretary of Education

    Markwayne Mullin - Secretary of Homeland Security

    John Ratcliffe - Director of the Central Intelligence Agency

    Scott Turner - Secretary of Housing and Urban Development

    Russ Vought - Director of the Office of Management and Budget

    Chris Wright - Secretary of Energy

    Lee Zeldin - Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency

    56

    56

    50

    41

    38

    38

    38

    38

    38

    38

    38

    38

    36

    36

    36

    36

    36

    36

    36

    36

    36

    What books will I enjoy reading? (ADD ANSWERS)

    Aug 10, 7:39 AMAug 10, 7:22 AM
    5128

    OptionProbability

    There's Always This Year by Hanif Abdurraqib

    Dungeon Crawler Carl #1

    The Thinking Machine (NVIDIA) by Stephen Witt

    There is No Antimimetics Division by qntm

    Say Nothing by Patrick Radden Keefe

    The Passion According to GH by Clarice Lispector

    Ficciones by Borges

    Artemis by Andy Weir

    Frankenstein by Mary Shelley

    54

    53

    51

    50

    50

    50

    50

    46

    46

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    110

    91

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